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Awards seasonnever really ends . Even thoughthe Oscarstypically mark the close of one time of year , the next has already begin by the time the Academy hands out those lilliputian aureate men . Predicting accolade has become a cottage industriousness in its own right , a room to gamify the wash to the Oscars by determining who has the best odds of clinch the win on Hollywood ’s biggest Nox .
To promise these things accurately , pundits look at major celluloid festivals , boxwood power performance , and , eventually , precursor awards to see which films are foregather the right amount of momentum to hold them to awards glorification . To realize this impulse , studios launch For Your Consideration ( FYC ) campaign based on their firm contenders that can push a film over the finish rail line . Below , we plunk into the twelvemonth - round of golf Hz of honour time of year , taper out key event that can shape the backwash to the Oscars .
The Next Year’s Awards Season Begins Before The Previous Year’s Oscars Even Air
Early Contenders Start Making Themselves Known In January
Though accolade season kicks into overdrive when fall begins , January is when the first contenders for the next season begin to emerge thanks to theSundance Film Festivalthat happens every January . In old days , moving-picture show likeManchester By The Sea , Call Me By Your Name , Get Out , andPast Liveshave all debuted at the Park City , Utah fete , often more than a class before they ’ll be competing at the Oscars .
motion picture
Year
Nominations
Wins
Manchester By The Sea
2016
Picture , Director , Actor , Supporting Actor , affirm Actress , Original Screenplay
Best Actor , Casey Affleck ; Original Screenplay , Kenneth Lonergan
Call Me By Your Name
2017
Picture , Actor , Adapted Screenplay , Original Song
Custom image by Debanjana Chowdhury
Adapted Screenplay , James Ivory
Get Out
Picture , Director , Actor , Original Screenplay
Original Screenplay , Jordan Peele
Past life
2023
Picture , Original Screenplay
N / A
This twelvemonth , Sundance ’s slate was a little lighter . Though some films from this twelvemonth ’s fest may show up in precursor accolade run by critics ' circles and single guilds , not many picture from Sundance 2024 seem poised to make a splash at the Oscars . Jesse Eisenbergwrote , directed , and stars inA Real Pain , which held its premiere at the festival and will probably vie in several major categories including Best Original Screenplay , Best Supporting Actor for Kieran Culkin , and Best Picture .
Though it could ’ve had more depth , A Real Pain showcases Jesse Eisenberg ’s hope as a film producer in a poignant dramedy with groovy performances .
About a month after Sundance , the Berlin International Film Festival ( AKA Berlinale ) takes place in February , introducing a slew of central outside films that could become major player . It is n’t until May , though , at the Cannes Film Festival , where other early contenders make their debut . Cannes is perhaps the most esteemed of all festivals where external films and major Hollywood smash hit premier side - by - side . A enraptured reception at Cannes can give a film the momentum it call for to soar through the rest of the year to laurels glory .
Take this year’scontroversial Netflix movieEmilia Pérezwhich premiered at Cannes to mostly rapturous reassessment before win the Best Actress award at the fest , where the jury lead by Greta Gerwig give all four actresses - Karla Sofía Gascón , Zoe Saldaña , Selena Gomez , and Adriana Paz - the honor . Emilia Pérezfaced some backlash upon its tone ending , but it is still a major actor in many categories this year .
Just because a plastic film does well at these festivals does not mean it will end up on Academy members ' ballot .
Sean Baker’sAnoraalso premiered at Cannes this year , buy the farm on to win the Palme d’Or and earn Red Army Faction at various other festivals , let in Tellruide and Toronto . The star of that film , Mikey Madison , is the current frontrunner for Best Actress , but the film could be a major thespian in slew of other categories . It ’s not always wanton for a film to keep impulse throughout the year , but as award season takes Supreme Headquarters Allied Powers Europe , there are wad of theatrical releases and motion-picture show from Sundance and Cannes that pull off to make a big enough wallop to warrant a continued campaign once fall rolls around .
Sundance , Berlinale , and Cannes are not direct bellwether for the Oscars . Just because a film does well at these fete does not signify it will end up on Academy member ' vote . TakeTitanefor example , a French consistence repugnance film that won the Palme d’Or in 2021 . That flick did not even make the short list for Best International Feature . Still , these festivals can be a good indicator of what cinephiles , critics , and members of the diligence will be keep an oculus on throughout the year in the lead up to the big ceremony .
Awards Season Truly Begins In September
From There, It’s A Sprint To The Finish Line
There are three key pin festivals that kick off awards time of year in earnest : the Venice International Film Festival , the Telluride Film Festival , andthe Toronto International Film Festival . Here , key picture show from Sundance , Berlinale , and Cannes can re-emerge to cue audiences of their power , but these event often introduce central contenders that will fight for prize glory .
More often than not , many Best Picture candidate end up making the troll at at least one of these decline festivals , and it seems safe to say the same for this year . 2024 editions of these festival saw the premieres of major contenders likeThe Brutalist , The Room Next Door , Conclave , September 5 , I ’m Still Here , andThe Wild Robot , while antecedently mentioned contender likeAnora , Emilia Pérez , andA Real Painalso screen .
The 10 moving-picture show nominated for Best Picture are confirmed , but only one can win the Oscars 2025 category . Will it be Anora , Conclave , or another ?
Because these fete are hang by many in the industriousness - genius , critics , behind - the - scenes folks like directors , producers , and more - the response to the plastic film out of these festivals can indicate where the temperature is at for the industry , as narratives that will continue through the season lead off to take conformation . By the time early December roll around and critics groups lead off announcing their shortlist and nomination , these narrative have coalesced into FYC campaigns with the full weight of the studio behind them .
Critics ' groups are normally the first to hand out award and award , which can hike up a film ’s profile before balloting commence for industry groups like the writer , actor , director , and manufacturer guild . cardinal critics ' groups let in the New York Film Critics Circle , the African American Film Critics Association , and the critic ' Choice Association . The taste of these mathematical group does not always adjust with the Academy ’s as there is often minimal convergence between the industry and them , but it can be a pretty good indication of where sentiment lie overall .
In the chronicle of the Oscars , there have only been three winner who have ever reject to accept their honour from the Academy .
Industry awards typically take position at the top of the class before the Oscars , with the Writers ' Guild , the Screen Actors ' Guild , the Producers ' Guild , and more denote their nominee and eventual success . These are more exact indicators because of the industry lap - mint of people in these club are also fellow member of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences , which host the Oscars . The BAFTAs , the honor ceremony hold by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts , is another exact bellwether for the Oscars , often because of its law of proximity to that ceremony and the overlap between the two radical .
Despite the yr - long predictions , nothing is ever a surefire warranty , but that ’s what makes it fun . There have been plenty ofOscars surpriseswhen the observance ineluctably rolls around . It ’s impossible to anticipate the vote trends of almost 10,000 unique member of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences , but people will continue to try and , more often than not , someone out there is going to get it right-hand .
Below , check out a full calendar of upcoming fundamental day of the month for the 2025 awards season that culminate with the Oscars on March 2 , 2025 .
December :
Gotham Awards
12/2/2024
New York Film Critics Circle Nominations
12/3/2024
National Board of Review Awards
12/4/2024
American Film Institute Top 10
12/5/2024
Golden Globe Nominations
12/9/2024
African American Film Critics Association Awards
Academy Award Shortlists
12/17/2024
Critics ' Choice Awards ( CCA ) Nominations
12/12/2024
January :
Golden Globe Awards
1/5/2025
New York Film Critics Circle Awards
1/8/2025
Screen Actors Guild ( SAG ) Nominations
Writers Guild of America ( WGA ) Nominations
1/9/2025
CCA Ceremony
1/12/2025
Producers Guild Of America ( PGA ) nomination
1/13/2025
Oscar Nominations Announced
1/17/2025
February :
Directors Guild of America Awards
2/8/2025
PGA Awards
WGA Awards
2/15/2025
British Academy of Film & Television Arts Awards
2/16/2025
Film Independent Spirit Awards
2/22/2025
SAG Awards
2/23/2025
March :
Academy Awards
3/2/2025
