Summary
Red Onewas supposed to be Dwayne Johnson ’s next braggy megahit hit , but I ’ll be shock if it finagle to snap his current cold run at the box position . Once known for being " franchise viagra " and inject IP with fiscal upside , The Rock became a one - Isle of Man solution for struggling franchises and blockbusters over the old age . His sustained popularity with audiences facilitate makeRed Onethe latest attempt for him to found a raw , original franchise . The Christmas - theme megahit comes from Amazon Studios and holds an exclusive theatrical release for November 2024 , which will further testDwayne Johnson ’s boxful role credibleness .
The Rock is no stranger to delivering massive boxwood government agency hits with original musical theme or film base on IP that otherwise had not been take on . Even if I did n’t revel every moving-picture show likeSan Andreas , Rampage , orSkyscraper , they are clear examples of his champion index work wonder at the box office . It is still easy to look at him and see a bankable actor who revived multiple franchises and found winner away from them , even withThe Rock ’s biggest box government agency bombs . But after the last few year , I have doubts about him doing it again withRed One .
The trailer for Dwayne " The Rock " Johnson ’s Modern movie just discharge , and it reckon set to preserve a surprising modern Christmas film trend .
Custom Image by Cooper Hood
Dwayne Johnson Hasn’t Starred In A Major Box Office Hit Since 2019
He’s In A Slump
The insensate , hard truth for Dwayne Johnson is thathis standing as a consistent box office superstar has fadedin late years . The last metre I can honestly say that he was the star of a adult blockbuster that performed well at the box office was in 2019 . He deliver two illustrious collision that yr , Fast & Furious Presents : Hobbs & ShawandJumanji : The Next Level , which both made over $ 750 million worldwide . That was the conclusion of a dominant run of roughly six years where his only real misstep was 2017’sBaywatch .
Since 2019 , Dwayne Johnson has not been the lead in any moving picture that has live up to his reputation . Part of this is due to COVID-19 and theater of operations exclude down , but the rise of cyclosis and poorly refresh blockbuster are also constituent . Johnson ’s frigid streak at the box office formally began withJungle Cruise ’s release in 2021 . The unrecorded - action Disney movie base on the theme park drive only made $ 210 million against a $ 200 million budget . Although it did supply at least $ 45 million in sales through Disney+ ( viaDeadline ) , it still goes down as a financial loss .
The more surprising growth to me was Dwayne Johnson ’s insensate run stretch out in 2022 with two DC movies . DC League of Super Petsmade $ 200 million at the box office , which in all likelihood mean it let out even . But , that amount was still honestly underwhelming consider the DC branding , star - studded phonation cast , and how often animated movies can hit much bigger thanks to being sept - well-disposed entertainment . It only got unsound withBlack Adam ’s box authority finishing at $ 390 million , resulting in contradictory composition of the picture show ’s profitableness or failure .
Image via Amazon MGM Studios
Fast X is Dwayne Johnson ’s highest - gross movie since 2019 , but he only appear in the post - credits scene
To facilitate put Dwayne Johnson ’s moth-eaten streak in perspective , he is presently in the midst of his longest drought inover a 10 without a leading role in a movie that made over $ 400 million . The last time he went more than two years without a $ 400 million wage earner was before he joinedFast & Furiousand became a maven that could draw in that much business . Furthermore , four out of five pic he starred in beforeJungle Cruisehit that benchmark , withSkyscraper ’s $ 300 million the lone elision - and that was still enough to be profitable .
Dwayne Johnson Movies Since 2019
Movie
Box Office
Jungle Cruise ( 2021 )
$ 210 million
Red Notice ( 2022 )
N / A - Netflix Release
Image via Amazon MGM Studios
DC League of Super Pets ( 2022 )
$ 203 million
Black Adam ( 2022 )
$ 390 million
Red One Looks Like A Risky Box Office Bet On Dwayne Johnson
The Movie Is Not A Guaranteed Hit
After reckon over Dwayne Johnson ’s late box agency rill , I ’m quite surprised that Amazon Studios would take the bet onRed Oneas a theatrical discharge . This could have made sense when Johnson was still at the peak of his power . A Christmas - place activity movie smash hit conscientious objector - starring Chris Evans and re - teaming Johnson with hisJumanjimovie director Jake Kasdan sounds like a win on paper . I knowI was excited for it when it was first announced . However , the preview have been less than supporting , as have the behind - the - scenes reports and multiple holdup .
What is really perplex about Amazon’sRed Onerelease design is that they had an easy fashion to avoid the flick being viewed as a likely box office floating-point operation . The original plan for the film was to give it an single streaming discharge on Prime Video in 2023.I have no doubt thatRed Onewould’ve been a vast smasher on Prime Videoas family could watch it together around the holidays . There is now a stake on Johnson drawing million of people to theaters instead . That ’s a risky one to make considering how Johnson ’s last few motion picture have perform .
Red One’s Massive $250 Million Budget Only Makes Things Worse
The Bar For Success Is High
Somehow , Red One ’s outlook has only gotten worse over sentence too . This largely stems from written report thatRed One ’s budget is $ 250 million , if not eminent , after various delays . I would n’t be that concerned about the cost if the moving-picture show was still going flat to Prime Video , asmassive budgets for star - studded streaming action at law movie are somewhat normalnow . But now thatRed Oneis going to dramatic art , its box place will be judge on its own merits without any grace for whatever value the celluloid ’s public presentation on Prime Video subsequently on has for the studio .
This means thatRed Oneneeds to make at least $ 500 million at the box officefor anyone to realistically call the picture a fiscal success for Johnson or Amazon . It is commonly said that a movie needs to reduplicate its budget to break even , while anything importantly more makes it profitable . I ’d completely understand Amazon thinkingRed Onecould make that much money in theater if it was come out between 2013 and 2019 . But since we ’re in 2024 and Johnson is in a slump , the $ 250 million output seems likely to become a significant box office dud .
Dwayne Johnson ’s only movies to make $ 500 million or more are Moana , his Jumanji picture , and all his Fast & Furious appearances .
Dwayne Johnson Has A Better Box Office Bet Lined Up For After Red One
He’s Returning To A Major Hit
IfRed Onecrashes and burning at the box office like I suspect , the sting for Dwayne Johnson will be important . The only good news for him is that it wo n’t have to last long . That ’s because he already has a sure - fire box part hit lined up to liberate only two calendar week later .
Dwayne Johnson is all but guaranteed to have a huge box power success on his hands whenMoana 2releases on November 27 , 2024 . The first moving-picture show rest one of his highest - grossing films , and its popularity has grown over the twelvemonth on Disney+.Moana 2is sure go to go along Disney ’s dominanceat the boxwood office in 2024 . That ’s nifty news for Dwayne Johnson as it can help promptly eraseRed One ’s performance from headlines as he retain the focus on how well theMoanasequel does .
author : Deadline
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