Mikey Madison is view as a majorOscarscontender for her lead functioning inAnora . As the star of Sean Baker ’s 2024 drama about a sex worker ’s sprightliness after falling in love and getting married , Madison delivered a vocation - good performance . She was immediately put on potential lists for the2025 Oscars Best Actress nominationsfollowing the initial screening ofAnoraout of the Cannes Film Festival . The yell for Mikey Madison to advance an Oscar for her role have only mature as the film spread in theater and the accolade season push kicks into high gear .

indicate thatMikey Madison should be nominated for an Oscaris one thing , but going as far as to say that she should or will win Best Actress is another . Doing so would require her peer viewing her carrying into action as the best of the best from the entire year . That could be difficult with a mega - champion like Angelina Jolie or Oscars - darling in Saoirse Ronan also in the running . Still , there ’s a growing sense that the Best Actress Oscar is Mikey Madison ’s to suffer . But is that just desirous thinking or the direction the raceway is lead ?

The Odds Are In Mikey Madison’s Favor To Win Best Actress At The 2025 Oscars

She’s Considered The Frontrunner At The Moment

The idea that Mikey Madison is the favorite to win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars is not merely a tale that ’s being pushed online . GoldDerbyputs theAnorastar as the odds - on frontrunner to ultimately acquire . The electric outlet - which does not really take or admit bets on the Oscars - has putMikey Madison ’s odds at 19/5 to win Best Actress . That ’s ahead of Angelina Jolie ( Maria ) at 9/2 , Karla Sofía Gascón ( Emilia Pérez ) at 5/1 , Nicole Kidman ( Babygirl ) at 8/1 , and Cynthia Erivo ( Wicked ) at 10/1.DraftKingsputs Madison ’s betting odds at -160 to win .

Those odds only give Madison a narrow-minded gross profit margin over Jolie , who is a former Best Supporting Actress victor and Best Actress nominee . Thiscould interchange drastically withMariadebuting on Netflix on December 11and expanding the scope of Jolie ’s performance . The ripe newsworthiness for Madison is that she is attach to the movie that is thepredicted Oscars 2025 Best Picture winner . Anoracontinuing its firm push throughout awards season will help Madison ’s case , even if she loses some reason to Jolie in the coming hebdomad .

Mikey Madison Would Be One Of The Youngest Best Actress Winners In Oscars History

History Suggests Madison’s Oscars Win Is A Bit More Difficult

It ’s important to seem back at Oscars story to really get a sentience of Mikey Madison ’s fortune to win . This is due to two major ingredient that are inherent to her electioneering . She has never been nominate for an Oscar before , and she will be only weeks away from turning 26 at the clip of the 97th Academy Awards . That mean thattheAnorastar would be one of the youngest Best Actress winners in account , specially among multitude who win as a first - time campaigner .

To be more specific , Mikey Madison would be the ninth youngest Best Actress success in Oscars historyat 25 years and 342 solar day old at the time of the ceremony . This would make her the youngest Best Actress Oscar winner since 2016 , when Brie Larson won forRoomwhen she was just over 26 years former . Only Jennifer Lawrence ( Silver Linings Playbook ) at 22 years and 193 Clarence Shepard Day Jr. and Hilary Swank ( Boys Do n’t weep ) at 25 year and 240 days win Oscar at younger ages than Mikey Madison in the last twenty-five percent century .

Youngest Best Actress Oscar Winners

Anora, Emilia Perez, Gladiator II and Dune 2 with Oscar statues

Actress ( Movie )

yr

Age

Tom Hardy chokes a thug in the bar during the events of the Netflix movie Havoc

Marlee Matlin ( Children of a Lesser God )

1987

21 years , 218 years

Denzel Washington talking in Highest 2 Lowest

Jennifer Lawrence ( Silver Linings Playbook )

2013

22 years , 193 day

Mikey Madison’s Oscar Chances For Winning Best Actress For Anora

Custom Image by Simone Ashmoore

Janet Gaynor ( 7th Heaven , Street Angel , Sunrise )

1929

22 year , 222 days

Mikey Madison as Ani looking over her shoulder in Anora

Image via NEON

Joan Fontaine ( Suspicion )

1942

24 years , 127 days

Anora Official Poster

Audrey Hepburn ( Roman Holiday )

1954

24 day , 325 day

Headshot Of Mikey Madison

Jennifer Jones ( The Song of Bernadette )

1944

25 years , 0 solar day

Headshot Of Mark Eydelshteyn

Grace Kelly ( The Country Girl )

1955

25 year , 138 years

Movies

Hilary Swank ( Boys Do n’t blazon out )

2000

25 years , 240 sidereal day

The Oscars | Academy Awards

Julie Christie ( Darling )

1966

26 year , 4 days

Vivien Leigh ( Gone with the farting )

1940

26 years , 116 days

Of those three corresponding Oscar winner , Larson and Swank are the skillful comprehensive for theAnoraactress . Madison would be a succeeder as a first - prison term nominee , just like both of them , whereas Lawrence won on her 2nd Oscar nomination . Throughout Oscars history , Madison would become the 6th youngest Best Actress winner in their first nominating address and the youngest since Swank . This allgoes to show how rare Mikey Madison winning Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars actually would beif it go on . The Academy voter usually do n’t make the vernal performers the winners .

What Mikey Madison’s Age Means For Her Winning The Best Actress Oscar For Anora

Madison Just Needs A Strong Campaign

Although Mikey Madison ’s age puts her in rarified company to become an Oscar success forAnora , it should not intercept her from gain ground the award . It does make it more difficult , though , on paper . The in force news for Madison is that she ’s leading the subspecies right now and has been able-bodied to hold onto the top billet for a proficient part of the year . Anorais in a substantial fleck for a revival as awards season ramp up , and that ’s only die to help Madison ’s case to win , in my impression . The more that genuine Oscar elector check out the film ( whether on streaming or at FYC upshot ) , the better her odds should get .

It is worth noting , though , that the crossing over between Best Picture winner and Best Actress winner is not all that with child . The Best Actress winner has only get along from the Best Picture victor 13 timesin the last 96 Academy Awards - although its occur in two out of the last four , so this could be changing . Of that grouping , eight of the actresses were first time campaigner like Madison would be . But , none of them were younger .

The Oscars 2025 are rapidly approach , and with nominating address now formally announce , we ’re predicting the winners of all 23 class .

However , there ’s also a way of life for Madison ’s age to be used against her in the awards time of year . She ’s an up - and - coming star who has now proven she ’s capable of delivering an Oscar - worthy performance , sothere could be a thought that she has more opportunity to succeed in the futurity . With veteran performer like Angelina Jolie and Demi Moore seeking their first Best Actress Oscar or Nicole Kidman and Kate Winslet gun for their second , could voter vote in favour of stars whose legacies can be bolstered by a win ? It would n’t be the first clock time the Oscars have done so .

Mikey Madison is still rightfully at the forefront of the Best Actress category and all conversations surrounding it thanks toAnora . However , Maria ’s approaching release could be used to give Angelina Jolie a important thrust correct as more of awards season gets going . Madison is surely heading for an Oscar nominationat the very least at this item . But if she ’s depart to hold off Jolie , Kidman , and others for the win , Neon will have to go up a strongOscarscampaign to keepAnoraat the front of voters ' minds and Madison at the top of their ballots .

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