Anora

Demi Moore might be the out - and - out favorite to best this class ’s Academy Award for Best Actress in a Leading Role , for her portrayal of Elisabeth Sparkle inThe Brutalist . But Mikey Madison ’s breakout performance as the deed character inAnorashouldn’t be ruled out just yet . Although Moore has won three of the four major acting booty this laurels season already , the Oscars is a different event altogether . 2025 ’s leaning of Best Actress nominees let in a wildcard that could amount to a monolithic upset when it comes topredictions for the 2025 Academy Awards .

Demi Moore’s SAG Award Is No Guarantee Based On Recent Years

Half The SAG Winners Since 2018 Didn’t Win The Best Actress Oscar

Demi Moore ’s SAG Award win should have further hike up her Oscar chances , as it has done forTimothée Chalamet in the male Best Actor category . But unfortunately for Moore , recent history tells us that a victory in SAG ’s distaff booster cable category is no guarantee of Oscars triumph . Three female actors who win the Screen Actors ’ Guild Award in the preceding six years did n’t go on to win the Oscar . Glenn Close was beaten by Olivia Colman in 2019 , whileViola Davis in 2021 and Lily Gladstone last year had every right to experience aggrievedat miss out on film acting ’s top award .

Demi Moore is favorite to gain 2025 ’s Best Actress Oscar , for her role in The Substance . If she bring home the bacon , it ’ll be a historical moment for a recess subgenre .

On the other hand , this recent trend is an exception to the more worldwide principle . Since the Screen Actors ’ Guild Awards began in 1995 , 19 of the 30 prominent Female Lead superior have then won the Academy Award the same year . These numbers still leave plenty of way for doubt , but ultimately add to the betting odds stack up in Demi Moore ’s favor , and do n’t helpMikey Madison ’s chances at this year ’s Academy Award .

Anora Official Poster

The Oscars 2025 Best Actress Race Has A Spoiler Candidate That SAG Didn’t

Fernanda Torres’ Performance In I’m Still Here Could Cause A Surprise

However , there could be an extra obstacle in Moore ’s way that she would n’t have play on prevent her Oscar win . In the Academy ’s Best Actress category , there ’s one candidate who ’s been put on some ground on both Moore and Madison in late weeks . Brazilian actorFernanda Torres is getting the Oscars recognitionthat her over-the-top functioning as Eunice Paiva inI’m Still Herewarrants . She was n’t nominate for the SAG Award , intend thather effect on the Oscars race is difficult to predict .

" Fernanda Torres is rattling in a difficult role . She conveys every emotion with such nuance that you have to be look out her face and organic structure language the total sentence to truly decipher every belief she incarnate . “- Mae Abdulbaki

  • ScreenRant ’s review ofI’m Still Here

Close-up of Mikey Madison’s face from the ending of Anora

Torres is still a 16 - 1 rank outsider to take home the Oscar , but the fact that she ’s gain priming suggests that some of the Academy ’s suffrage have go her fashion . At the very least , she could take a portion of voter turnout that Moore might otherwise have collected , allowing Madison to induce an unbelievable overturn .

Demi Moore Is Still The Best Actress Favorite, But Don’t Be Shocked If Mikey Madison Wins

This Oscars Category Is Too Difficult To Call Right Now

It does feel like Demi Moore ’s year to take home an Oscar , for a performance that ’s topical as much as it is revitalizing for her career . Still , the Academy Awards do n’t always follow the script , as 2017 ’s Best Picture slaughter illustrate . In the Best Actress family , Before lose toEmma Stone at last yr ’s Oscars , Lily Gladstoneseemed nailed on to become the first Native American to win the award . 20 years ago , Annette Benning was the favorite and Kate Winslet was the performance that ’s still talked about today , but Hillary Swank collect her 2d Oscar in five years . Emma Stone achieved a standardised feat last class .

Moore might still have the Oscars momentum to get over the line , but the safest wager for this year ’s Best Actress is to head off a definitive prediction .

Most of the buzz around Mikey Madison ’s operation inAnorahas come in the last three weeks , and her profits at the BAFTAs cemented her space as readable secondly - favourite to Moore . Moore might still have the Oscars momentum to get over the pipeline , but the safest wager for this twelvemonth ’s Best Actress is to avoid a definitive foretelling . This one could still go either way .

Demi Moore’s Elisabeth looking insanely into a reflection in The Substance

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Cast

Anora ’s life takes a dramatic twist when she impetuously splice the son of a Russian oligarch , catapulting her from the street of Brooklyn to a world of opulence and examination . As her new in - laws arrive with plan to dismantle the hasty union , Anora must pilot the cultural and social chasm between her past and her present . The film , directed by Sean Baker , masterfully blend acuate social commentary with devout play , paint a vivid picture of love , identity , and the unexpected consequences of a song and dance gone awry .

Fernanda Torres in I’m Still Here

Mikey Madison looking confused in Anora

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Headshot Of Mikey Madison

Headshot Of Mark Eydelshteyn

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Anora