The final results of the 2025 Oscar nominating speech delivered a mostly expect batting order in Best Actress . Although the likes of Angelina Jolie , Nicole Kidman , Marianne Jean - Baptiste , and others had hope of nominations , they are all among the snubs in this category . Now or else of deliberate who should be nominated , the conversation turn over to look at who is going to win . And regard how much the class has shifted throughout the awards time of year , Screen Rant ’s prediction for the Best Actress success for the 97th Academy Awards ceremonial occasion on March 2nd is a close call .
Actress
film
Custom Image by Cooper Hood
1
Demi Moore
The pith
2
Mikey Madison
Anora
3
Fernanda Torres
I ’m Still Here
4
Cynthia Erivo
Wicked
5
Karla Sofía Gascón
Emilia Pérez
5Karla Sofía Gascón - Emilia Pérez
Her Campaign Has Been Tanked By Controversies
Karla Sofía Gascón was sure in the running play for Best Actress and viewed as a darkhorse contender thanks to the unexpected loveEmilia Pérezreceived during Oscar nomination . Its 13 nominations are the most of any picture show this class and one of the gamy mark ever . That putEmilia Pérez , and its star , in a hard spot to do very well on March 2nd . The historic aspect of Gascón being the first openly trans person to obtain an Oscar nomination provide a clear narrative push for the actress to pull ahead after some early awards success at Cannes .
Everything changed for her Best Actress chances onceKarla Sofía Gascón ’s controversial tweetsresurfaced . Her honest-to-goodness remarks stirred up even more division for an already divisive film due to the racist and loathsome opinions she had shared years ago . Gascón apparently did herself no favors as she carry on to speak about the tweet , her intentions with them , and give out to deliver an excuse that resonate . This resulted inEmilia Pérezdistancing itself from her , with Netflix even dropping its headline star from further awards promotions .
Even without the contestation , Gascón was becoming more of a longshot to win Best Actress due to a deficiency of precursor wins . Losing at Critics Choice Awards , Golden Globes , SAG Awards , and elsewhere solidify her posture . There is no opportunity that she ’ll get enough vote from Academy members to win if for no other reasonableness than the unfit Commonwealth of Puerto Rico it would contribute and the bunglesome acceptance speech that could come .
4Cynthia Erivo - Wicked
Erivo Is A Former Best Actress Nominee
Cynthia Erivo is back in the Oscar race once again , defy all doubts aboutWicked ’s probability this awarding season . The hit musical overleap to the heart and soul of many Oscars discussions , and Erivo ’s powerful display as Elphaba is one of the many reasons why . Erivo insert the season as a presumed longshot for a nomination even thoughshe was previously nominated for Best Actress thanks toHarriet . After not deliver the goods at the 2020 ceremonial occasion , it would be a total surprisal if she in the end uprise to the top of the category withWicked .
Ironically , Cynthia Erivo ’s last Oscar - put up public presentation in the end lost to a musical , as Renée Zellweger win Best Actress that twelvemonth for playingThe Wizard of Oz ’s star Judy Garland in the biopicJudy . Now that she is part of the big musical picture show inWicked , Erivo is looking to be the latest in a long air of Best Actress winners who headline major musicals - joining Renée Zellweger ( Judy ) , Emma Stone ( La La Land ) , Reese Witherspoon ( Walk the origin ) , Sissy Spacek ( Coal Miner ’s Daughter ) , Liza Minnelli ( Cabaret ) , Barbra Streisand ( Funny Girl ) , Julie Andrews ( Mary Poppins ) , and Luise Rainer ( The Great Ziegfeld ) .
Wicked is promise to bring in more Oscar nomination than The Wizard of Oz , but it rest to be seen if it wins more than the 1939 classic .
With Erivo losing at the Golden Globes , critic ' Choice Awards , and SAG Awards , her hope of winning the Oscar have vanished . She ’ll join Nicole Kidman ( Moulin Rogue ! ) and Renée Zellweger ( Chicago ) as stars of late Broadway musical movie adaption who did not win Best Actress . Perhaps she ’ll have good luck at the Oscars 2026 if she ’s name again forWicked : For Good .
3Fernanda Torres - I’m Still Here
She Won The Golden Globe For Best Actress - Drama
Fernanda Torres is officially a Best Actress nominee for the Oscars 2025 thanks toI’m Still Here . Brazil ’s entry for Best International Feature revolves around a family moral force , but Torres ' persona is at the center . After reviews noted the specialty of her public presentation , Torres became a notable figure in this category . She ’s a well - respected and award - winning actress in Brazil , and nowI’m Still Hereis expanding the audience ’s - and Oscar elector ' - exposure to her work .
The Best Actress family has a relatively good track phonograph recording of showing dearest to international operation
The Best Actress family has a relatively good track record of showing love life to external execution , which Torres ' nomination go on . Sandra Hüller was appoint last year forAnatomy of a Fall , and Penélope Cruz was nominated in 2022 forParallel mother . There were also nominations for Yalitza Aparicio ( Roma ) , Isabelle Huppert ( Elle ) , and Marion Cotillard ( Two Days , One Night ) in the last decade . However , no actress has won Bes Actress for a non - English speaking role since 2008when Cotillard did it forLa Vie en Rose . Torres hopes to do it next .
Fernanda Torres ' mother was the last Brazilian actress nominated for an Oscar in 1999
There is only a minor probability that Torres actually wins the Best Actress Oscar , though . I’m Still Hereclearly has a lot of fans in the Academy after the film ’s Best Picture nominating speech . She would need that support to put her above Mikey Madison and Demi Moore and then get even more helper to make headway . Fernanda Torres flap both at the Golden Globes , so it is not impossible that she could do the same at the Oscars . But without a strong precursor performance , there ’s merely not enough documentation for her to win and unseat the top two contenders .
2Mikey Madison - Anora
A Breakout Role Has Led To Her First Oscar Nomination
Mikey Madison is a strong contender for the Oscars 2025 Best Actress award . She does not have old awards bloodline , but neither do the other nominees in this category . Madison is the star of what might be the Best Picture frontrunnerinAnora . The young actress has continued to mount through Hollywood in recent years , whether its working with Quentin Tarantino or fall in theScreamfranchise . It was only after these film that she shoot down the lead office in Sean Baker’sAnora , which explores new love and marriage as a stemmer .
The case for Mikey Madison ’s Oscar nominating speech in 2025 comes throughAnora ’s position for the overall awards time of year . It ’s a heavy pet to win Best Picture , while Sean Baker is also a warm competitor for theOscars 2025 Best Directorcategory . Anoragot six nomination overall , but Madison is one of its good chances to win . If voters want to ensureAnorais an Oscar - win plastic film , giving her the Best Actress win would secure that status . She has the most precursor wins of any Best Actress nomineeto accompany her Critics Choice Awards , Golden Globes , and SAG Awards nomination .
However , the fact that Madison lost at Critics Choice , Golden Globes , and SAG are First Baron Marks of Broughton against her . The argument for her to get ahead is marry to the belief thatAnorawould win Best Picture and win the majority of its six Oscar nomination . Madison ’s only major forerunner victory came at BAFTA . That signal there is still a chance that she deliver the goods , but she really postulate a win at SAG to inspire more confidence in the prediction . Without that outcome , it ’s a morsel foxy to bet against the recent impulse in Demi Moore ’s favor .
If she does at last win , Mikey Madison will be one of the youngest Best Actress winner in Oscars story , as she ’d not yet been 26 geezerhood old at the fourth dimension of the ceremony . History suggests that elector could hold off to give her the winnings in favour of selecting a more veteran professional with an Oscar pedigree or better life history narrative . Mikey Madison ’s Best Actress betting odds are favorable , even if that ’s not what we predict right now .
1Demi Moore - The Substance
Her Golden Globe Win Has Made Her The Favorite
Demi Moore is formally an Oscar nominee forThe Substance , and she now seems to be in a bully billet to win Best Actress . Coralie Fargeat ’s film is one of the class ’s best surprises , earning critical acclaim , financial success , and now continued recognition throughout accolade time of year . Demi Moore ’s execution is a big reason why , asshe ’s become the human face ofThe Substance ’s tycoon . Her career riposte narration also boosts her standing , pushing her onward of someone like Madison , who has been viewed as a challenger for much longer this season .
The tides turned in Demi Moore ’s favor for the 2025 Academy Award Best Actress category with the Golden Globes . compete in the very competitive Best Actress - Musical or Comedy category , she was the choose succeeder over Madison , Gascón , Erivo , Amy Adams , and Zendaya . The Globes were a spot for Madison to secure her bit as a frontrunner , but Moore ’s win did the same for her . She went on to deliver the goods at Critics Choice , SAG , and more . Demi Moore ’s SAG winshould lock up the Oscar for her .
Picking between Mikey Madison and Demi Moore is still a close race
SAG and the Oscars have match Best Actress winners 9 out of the last 12 years . Overall , the same actress has won at both awards show in 21 out of 30 years . That ’s a unanimous track record for an Oscar herald and further emphasizes Demi Moore ’s office in the tether . Picking between Mikey Madison and Demi Moore is still a stuffy race , specially givenAnora ’s bear solid public presentation in all Oscars category . ButThe Substance ’s adept has the advantage manoeuver into the ceremony .
Moore will link up Michelle Yeoh ( Everything Everywhere All At Once ) , Jessica Chastain ( The Eyes of Tammy Faye ) , and Renée Zellweger ( Judy ) as established stars who finally acquire their first Best Actress Oscar of late . Her win at the Oscars would be most like to Yeoh ’s , as a first - meter nominee at nearly 60 years old in a bold genre film . see the journey of her acting vocation and the terrific performance on show inThe Substnace , Demi Moore is a very worthy winner of theOscars 2025Best Actress class - if it happens as predicted .
