The2025 Oscarsare rapidly approach , and the 10 Best Picture nominees have now been made official , leaving us to presage which will win . As surprisingnominees and winners at the 2024 Oscars proved , the 2025 awards season has been filled with good deal of unexpected developments , too . A movie likeAnorahas sustain its place as a major contender in the category , whileEmilia Pérezemerged as an undeniable competitor inall Oscars 2025 categories . The latter is in uncommon companionship considering it secured 13 nominating address for the 2025 observance , the most for any title .
Now that the 2025 Oscar nominations are confirm in every category , the Best Picture lineup is locked in . The picture contending for the grown prize at the 97th Academy Awards , which will be apply on March 2 , 2025 , areAnora , The Brutalist , A Complete Unknown , Conclave , Dune : Part Two , Emilia Pérez , I’m Still Here , Nickel Boys , The Substance , andWicked . Many of these films were have a bun in the oven to have a smear in the card thanks to predecessor wins and nominations . But as the last ceremony approaching and moreOscars controversiesmount , only one can be the predicted winner .
Best Picture 2025 Oscars Lineup
Custom Image by Yeider Chacon
Movie
Studio
Producers
1
Anora
Neon
Alex Coco , Samantha Quan and Sean Baker
2
Conclave
Focus feature
Tessa Ross , Juliette Howell and Michael A. Jackman
3
The Brutalist
A24
Nick Gordon , Brian Young , Andrew Morrison , D.J. Gugenheim and Brady Corbet
4
A Complete Unknown
Searchlight Pictures
Fred Berger , James Mangold and Alex Heineman
5
Wicked
Universal Pictures
Marc Platt
6
Emilia Pérez
Netflix
Pascal Caucheteux and Jacques Audiard
7
The kernel
Mubi
Coralie Fargeat and Tim Bevan & Eric Fellner
8
Dune : Part Two
Warner Bros.
Mary Parent , Cale Boyter , Tanya Lapointe and Denis Villeneuve
9
I ’m Still Here
Sony classic
Maria Carlota Bruno and Rodrigo Teixeira
10
Nickel male child
Amazon MGM
Dede Gardner , Jeremy Kleiner and Joslyn Barnes
10Nickel Boys
2 Oscar Nominations
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Amazon MGM pushed forNickel Boysto get more into the awards conversation ahead of the Oscars . The scheme worked asRaMell Ross and Joseyln Barnes ' script got a nominating address for Best Adapted Screenplay . This mark its only other nomination outside of Best Picture . With the powerful nature of the news report inspired by existent history , some great performances by the form , and fantabulous technical employment from the crew , Nickel Boys ' Best Picture nomination is an opportunity to recognize all aspects of the film .
The 10 Best Picture campaigner for the 2025 Oscars are now confirmed . Here ’s each pic outrank in tiers based on their opening of winning .
In terms of precursors for the nomination , Nickel Boyshad Critics ' Choice Awards , Golden Globes , Gotham Awards , Independent Film Spirit Awards , and Satellite Awards nominations for the equivalent of Best Picture . It evenwon Best Picture with the National Society of Critics . That ’s a hatful of love for Amazon MGM ’s small budget drama and gave it enough momentum to get into the 2025 Oscars Best Picture wash .
There is no real roadmap toward a Best Picture win forNickel Boys , though . There ’s only ever been two Best video pull ahead movies with two or few Oscar nominationsoverall . Those two films areWingsandGrand Hotel , and they both fall out nearly 100 old age ago . Not having much aid elsewhere may have allow these films to get winnings decades ago , but modern Oscars account suggest a moving picture needs multiple other nominating address and at least one other win to get Best Picture . The best it could do is pull ahead Adapted Screenplay .
9I’m Still Here
3 Oscar Nominations
Brazil ’s entry for Best International Feature Film surprised on Oscar nomination morning with a spot in Best Picture , too . I’m Still Hereperformed about as well as Sony Classics could have hoped for , with Fernanda Torres also amaze into Best Actress . The flick take in three Oscar nominations as a result . It ’s perhaps not all that surprising thatI’m Still Heregot in considering the Academy ’s ballot body has become more international over the last few year . I’m Still HerejoinsAnatomy of a Fall , Triangle of Sadness , andDrive My Caras recent international Best Picture nominees .
The acclaim and awards potential ofI’m Still Herewas also clean from the minute it debuted at the Venice International Film Festival . It got a Golden Lion nomination , which is the festival ’s highest prize . The pic clearly did well with Brazillian critics and award groups , but the nominations from the Golden Globes , National Board of Review , Critics ' Choice Awards , and BAFTA Awards all give it momentum . Fernanda Torres ' Golden Globes win may have helped push it over the top to get into Best Picture .
The nominee for Best Picture at the 97th Academy Awards are all well - made films , but some of them stand out as material highlights of 2024 ’s motion-picture show slate .
The betting odds are downcast thatI’m Still Herewill win Best Picture . International films have done substantially at receive credit in the category in recent twelvemonth , butParasiteis still the only one to gain . It also hurts thatI’m Still Here ’s Best Picture nominationis not alone in terms of non - English rival this year , asEmilia Pérezis a stronger contender in terms of a foreighn language film . There might be a lot of support for the Brazil drama , but it wo n’t be enough for it to win .
8Dune: Part Two
5 Oscar Nominations
History was onDune : Part Two ’s side to get a Best Picture Oscar nominating speech in 2025 , and that it did . Villeneuve ’s original movie received a nominating address in 2022 , but it did not win . His sci - fi filmArrivalalso got a Best Picture nominating address . With the Academy Awards voting body light buff of his work , Dune 2gets into the 2025 Best Picture subspecies after arguably surpassing what he did in the first movie . It ’s one of five Oscar nominating address for the subsequence , all of which follow in below - the - dividing line categories after Villeneuve missed in Best Director again .
This twelvemonth ’s Best Picture race is wildly irregular , so here are some stats and Oscar trends deserving know to foretell the winner correctly .
Dune 2had good ground to believe that it would be in the Best Picture mix . It had a Best Motion Picture - Drama nomination from the Golden Globes , which it turn a loss . It also fell inadequate at Critics Choice Awards , PGA , and Satellite Awards . Dune 2was not expect to win in any of those ceremony by that stop , and the same is straight of its Best Picture chance now . The subsequence may finally gain a few below - the - stock categories , but that ’s it . There ’s no sane expectation to predict it as the Best Picture winner .
The blue betting odds forDune 2to profits Best Picture are not a mark against the movie ’s tone . It was one of thebest moving picture of 2024 , and this nomination reflects that . The Academy may want to giveDunetheLord of the Ringstreatment where the majority of its wins total with the conclusion of the trilogy . That ’s a knock againstDune 2 . And that might be a error asDune 3may testify to be a less awards - favorable installing .
7The Substance
The Substanceis the biggest winner of the awards season , as Coralie Fargeat and Demi Moore ’s body revulsion film about Hollywood and mantrap has become a central part of the conversation . This includes the Best Picture nomination it has now secured . Fargeat earned a Best Director nomination , and Moore is watch as the front-runner to win Best Actress now . have in the motion picture ’s disputation in Makeup & Hairstyling and Original Screenplay , and it has the necessary backing to be a Best Picture competitor .
Several precursors were pointing toThe Substanceearning a nomination here . It was among the ten nominees at the PGAs , and the flick also earned recognition at the Golden Globes for Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy . With its strong vital commendation , surprise box situation success , and its continued staying power through the season , The Substanceis a longshot to win Best Picture- but a nomination is a win in and of itself .
Horror movies have historically been look down upon for the major awards , but there are a telephone number of exceptions that have earned Oscar nominations .
AlthoughThe Substance ’s Oscars performance is a sense - good taradiddle , there is not a good racecourse disc with repulsion movies in this class . This is only the 7th horror motion-picture show nominated for Best Picture . Only one , 1991’sThe Silence of the Elia , went on to win . Even with the Academy becoming more unforced to acknowledge out - of - the - box genre transportation likeThe Shape of WaterorEverything Everywhere All At Oncein late years , it ’s still unlikelyThe Substancetakes home the large laurels .
6Emilia Pérez
13 Oscar Nominations
Emilia Pérezlooked like the Best Picture winner follow the declaration of the Oscar nominating speech and how awards season has play out . The initial acclamation for the film out of Cannes led to it becoming the winner of the Jury Prize , earning a Palme d’Or nomination , and the chief four actress splitting Best Actress . Even though thegeneral reception toEmilia Pérezhas been a bit more mixed- or even negative with the majority of chance audiences , that has not stopped the boundary - crusade musical drama from becoming one of the biggest Oscar contender ever .
Only 10 movie musical theater have ever won the Academy Award for Best Picture , but they have n’t all gone down in moving picture account as popular classics .
While voters intelligibly had an affinity for the film based onEmilia Perez ’s 13 Oscar nominationsmaking it the most nominated movie of 2025 , everything that ’s come after was unexpected . Insensitive tweet from star Karla Sofía Gascón resurface online and trigger new controversy around the film . The fallout was disastrous for the film , as Netflix had to exploit to reconfigure the prize safari without its lead star , and the public statements Gascón has made have not always helped the situation .
Netflix , Audiard , and others relate with the film have had to outdistance themselves from Gascón , and that leaves voters in a spot where they could do the same . While the ballots are not public and there is still oeuvre done inEmilia Pérezthat is deserving celebrating , the optic of selecting this as the undecomposed picture show of the class for the Oscars are not great , and it would ensue in some awkward moment for indisputable . The movie could still find victories in other category , like good Supporting Actress , but its Best Picture probability have dipped considerably .
It ’s a reasonably surprising turning for a movie that already performed well before the Oscars ceremony . It was the ball carrier - up for the People ’s Choice Award at TIFF and win Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy at the Golden Globes . Emilia Pérezalso got BAFTA , PGA , Critics ' Choice , and SAG nominations , but it fell short at them all - some of which came even before the major disputation begin . Perhaps this is ultimately where the film would have wound up without the controversies base on how divisive the film itself is with viewer .
5Wicked
10 Oscar Nominations
Wickedburst onto the scene as a real Oscars contender in many family , including Best Picture . The 2024 adaptation of the first one-half of the acclaimed Broadway musical garnered most general congratulations from critics and audiences alike . Wickedis one of the biggest crew - pleaser of the year , not to advert one of the full-grown box seat office performer . With its impressive musical numbers , costumes , production , and stellar performances from Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande , Wickedearned 10 nomination , let in a Best Picture nomination .
Musicals do not have the expert history of winning Best Picture , but that could be dissimilar this year . Wickedsurprised with its precursor wins , most notably with itsBest Film profits from the National Board of Review . The movie arguably needed to win the Golden Globe for Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy to really start mounting its eccentric to win Best Picture , which it did not . It still had a chance to win at the PGA Awards , but it lost toAnora .
A winnings for Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at SAG Awards would have really helped boost its case . It ’s loss at SAG keeps it out of the list of major contenders and obviate the perceived prominence a movie likeBlack Pantherreceived a few year ago when it win Best Cast . The same likely would have happened ifWickedwon at SAG , even if it still probably would be a longshot to bring home the bacon Best Picture . Since it lost at SAG , there is no real path to validate pickingWickedat the Oscars .
The betting odds are stacked againstWickedwinning Best Pictureright now . The design forWicked : For Goodto handout later this year and grapple for the 2026 Oscars may also leave voters with a feeling they can hold back another year and give the sequel a Best Picture profits . Whether that ’s actually what come about is something to keep an eye on for the next year .
4A Complete Unknown
8 Oscar Nominations
James Mangold ’s Bob Dylan biopicA Complete Unknownis a major contender for the 2025 Oscars Best Picture race . asterisk Timothée Chalametas the iconic musician , the moving picture joins the tilt of music biopics that receive Best Picture nominations . The Academy shows plenty of favor to true stories , especially those that revolve around massive pop music polish figures and have the kind of maven top executive in front of and behind the camera asA Complete Unknown . That ’s clearly happened again withA Complete Unknown ’s eight nominations , giving it a mellow tally than expect .
James Mangold previously got a Best Picture nomination for a straight story movie with Ford v. Ferrari
Searchlight put its full metier behindA Complete Unknownupon its late - season release , and it paid off . It was recognized at Golden Globes , BAFTA , Critics Choice , PGA , and SAG . However , it did n’t take home the top prize at any of those precursors . That only lead one real argument to be made in favor of pickingA Complete Unknownto gain Best Picture : the discriminatory ballot .
As a rather standard biopic done by some of the steadiest members of the filmmaking industry , A Complete Unknownis a picture show that most voters are certain to wish . It could then do passably well on the preferential ballot . elector who are pickingTimothée Chalamet to win Best Actorcould put his pic above some other contenders that may be more divisive . This still is not an outcome that I really think is feasible , but that will in all probability explain howA Complete Unknownwins Best Picture in that unbelievable scenario .
3The Brutalist
The Brutalisthas a solid resume to succeed Best Picture , making it a legitimate contender . It’salready won the Golden Globe for Best Motion Picture - Drama . But it also lose at Critics Choice and BAFTA . However , Academy voters still have a strong affinity for the film found on the nominations , and there ’s a world where the film win Director , Actor , and redaction to help digest a Best Picture win . If you really need a reason to believeThe Brutalistwill gain Best Picture , predicting Corbet to gain ground Best Director would really bolster the likeliness .
69 of 96 Best Picture winning movies also gain ground the Oscar for Best Director
unluckily , there is also the varying ofThe Brutalist ’s AI controversy . affright about how the picture show carry out AI and the general opposition most of Hollywood , especially actors , have toward the technology could hard hurt the film . Its epic runtime already was working against it to some level , but now there may be a big intellect for voters not to want it to bring home the bacon . The Brutalistwould have to get voters well-situated with its use of AI to win Best Picture . It ’s indecipherable if that was accomplished .
2Conclave
Based on the well - selling novel by author Robert Harris , Conclavecombines a pile roll with a spellbind write up – creating the idealistic Best Picture formula . have the likes of Ralph Fiennes , Stanley Tucci , John Lithgow , and Isabella Rossellini , the movie touch on a Papal election and an challenging enigma . Not only does the talent line up in front of the photographic camera contain multiple Academy Award candidate , butConclaveis also point by Academy Award - winner Edward Berger , whose previous labor , All Quiet On The Western Front , won the Best International Feature Film accolade in 2023 .
The dramatic play looks to be in a expert view to possibly win Best Picture . It ’s an old - fashioned drama - thriller that has racked up necessary nomination at the Golden Globes , PGA , BAFTA , and more . With eight nomination across the table , Conclaveis in the top one-half for full number of nominating speech between the Best Picture nominees . It ’s in a good situation to win Adapted Screenplay and possibly some other technical categories , which could help its case . It ’s received a Brobdingnagian hike after bring home the bacon at BAFTA and SAG .
There are disputation to be made againstConclavewinning Best Picture , such as Berger ’s surprising omission from the Best Director nominees . That ’s a big heap considering only six picture have won Best Picture without a Best Director nomination . moreover , Focus Features has never won the Best Picture Oscardespite 12 premature nominations . This would meanConclavewould need to make history so as to win the category . I ca n’t quite get myself to predict that outcome , but I will not be surprised if this is the Best Picture succeeder at the end of the Clarence Day .
1Anora
6 Oscar Nominations
From the import it debuted at Cannes 2024,Anorabecame the frontrunner for the Oscars and a heavily promise Best Picture victor . An irregular romance that shines a Inner Light on the world of sex work , Anorahas enjoy critical plaudits – receiving a 10 - minute standing standing ovation from festival - goer after its premiere . Given this reaction , it ’s unsurprising thatthe movie won the 2024 Palme d’Or . This success positioned the film to continue riding high once Neon boarded the film as a distributor and awards campaign partner .
Neon has a solid track book with the Oscars , including help oneself pushParasiteto be the Best Picture winner in 2020 after it also was the Palme d’Or winner . The studio apartment has givenAnoraa strong effort throughout the award season , culminating in it earning six Oscar nominations . It ’s already been recognized by the Golden Globes , NBR , Gotham Awards , Film Independent Spirit Awards , AFI , PGA , and plenty of critic groups . All theawardsAnorahas wonspeak for itself .
Anorawas the take for granted front-runner to pull ahead , and after appearing to have peak too early , it rebounded incredibly well down the stretch . Even after its shutout at the Golden Globes and Mikey Madison losing flat coat to Demi Moore for Best Actress , Anorahas now win at PGA , DGA , Critics Choice , and more . The PGA win is especially important in solidifyingAnoraas the Best Picture frontrunner.12 of the last 15 Best Picture winners also won at PGA , so that commit Sean Baker ’s movie in a great position to come through it all .
My last prediction is thatAnorawill win Best Picture
moreover , it should helpAnora ’s event that the Oscars apply a discriminatory ballot for this family . In a twelvemonth with some factious Best Picture challenger , there are not many who hate Sean Baker ’s film . If it ’s consistently second or third on ballot that it does not finish at the top , it could emerge victorious through the division . It ’s really a coin toss betweenAnoraandConclavebetween who will come through the top prize . My last prediction is thatAnorawill win Best Picture at theOscars 2025 .