The2025 Oscarsare rapidly approach , and the 10 Best Picture nominees have now been made official , leaving us to presage which will win . As surprisingnominees and winners at the 2024 Oscars proved , the 2025 awards season has been filled with good deal of unexpected developments , too . A movie likeAnorahas sustain its place as a major contender in the category , whileEmilia Pérezemerged as an undeniable competitor inall Oscars 2025 categories . The latter is in uncommon companionship considering it secured 13 nominating address for the 2025 observance , the most for any title .

Now that the 2025 Oscar nominations are confirm in every category , the Best Picture lineup is locked in . The picture contending for the grown prize at the 97th Academy Awards , which will be apply on March 2 , 2025 , areAnora , The Brutalist , A Complete Unknown , Conclave , Dune : Part Two , Emilia Pérez , I’m Still Here , Nickel Boys , The Substance , andWicked . Many of these films were have a bun in the oven to have a smear in the card thanks to predecessor wins and nominations . But as the last ceremony approaching and moreOscars controversiesmount , only one can be the predicted winner .

Best Picture 2025 Oscars Lineup

Emilia Perez, Anora, Conclave, The Brutalist, and Wicked with Oscars

Custom Image by Yeider Chacon

Movie

Studio

Producers

Nickel Boys 2025 Film Poster

1

Anora

Neon

Headshot Of Ethan Herisse

Alex Coco , Samantha Quan and Sean Baker

2

Conclave

Cast Placeholder Image

Focus feature

Tessa Ross , Juliette Howell and Michael A. Jackman

3

Emilia Perez, Wicked, Dune 2, and A Complete Unknown

The Brutalist

A24

Nick Gordon , Brian Young , Andrew Morrison , D.J. Gugenheim and Brady Corbet

I’m Still Here Movie Poster

4

A Complete Unknown

Searchlight Pictures

Zoe-Saldana-from-Emila-Perez,-Adrian-Brody-from-The-Brutalist,-Demi-Moore-from-The-Substance,-and-Cynthia-Erivo-from-Wicked

Fred Berger , James Mangold and Alex Heineman

5

Wicked

01644435_poster_w780.jpg

Universal Pictures

Marc Platt

6

Headshot Of Timothée Chalamet

Emilia Pérez

Netflix

Pascal Caucheteux and Jacques Audiard

Headshot Of Zendaya In The Los Angeles Premiere Of Amazon MGM Studios' ‘Challengers’

7

The kernel

Mubi

Anora, Conclave, and The Brutalist

Coralie Fargeat and Tim Bevan & Eric Fellner

8

Dune : Part Two

The Substance (2024) Official Poster

Warner Bros.

Mary Parent , Cale Boyter , Tanya Lapointe and Denis Villeneuve

9

Headshot Of Demi Moore In The 77th Cannes Film Festival 2024

I ’m Still Here

Sony classic

Maria Carlota Bruno and Rodrigo Teixeira

Headshot Of Margaret Qualley

10

Nickel male child

Amazon MGM

Anthony Hopkins from Silence of the Lambs, Daniel Kulaaya from Get Out, and Natalie Portman from Black Swan

Dede Gardner , Jeremy Kleiner and Joslyn Barnes

10Nickel Boys

2 Oscar Nominations

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Cast

Amazon MGM pushed forNickel Boysto get more into the awards conversation ahead of the Oscars . The scheme worked asRaMell Ross and Joseyln Barnes ' script got a nominating address for Best Adapted Screenplay . This mark its only other nomination outside of Best Picture . With the powerful nature of the news report inspired by existent history , some great performances by the form , and fantabulous technical employment from the crew , Nickel Boys ' Best Picture nomination is an opportunity to recognize all aspects of the film .

The 10 Best Picture campaigner for the 2025 Oscars are now confirmed . Here ’s each pic outrank in tiers based on their opening of winning .

In terms of precursors for the nomination , Nickel Boyshad Critics ' Choice Awards , Golden Globes , Gotham Awards , Independent Film Spirit Awards , and Satellite Awards nominations for the equivalent of Best Picture . It evenwon Best Picture with the National Society of Critics . That ’s a hatful of love for Amazon MGM ’s small budget drama and gave it enough momentum to get into the 2025 Oscars Best Picture wash .

Emilia Perez 2024 Film Poster

There is no real roadmap toward a Best Picture win forNickel Boys , though . There ’s only ever been two Best video pull ahead movies with two or few Oscar nominationsoverall . Those two films areWingsandGrand Hotel , and they both fall out nearly 100 old age ago . Not having much aid elsewhere may have allow these films to get winnings decades ago , but modern Oscars account suggest a moving picture needs multiple other nominating address and at least one other win to get Best Picture . The best it could do is pull ahead Adapted Screenplay .

9I’m Still Here

3 Oscar Nominations

Brazil ’s entry for Best International Feature Film surprised on Oscar nomination morning with a spot in Best Picture , too . I’m Still Hereperformed about as well as Sony Classics could have hoped for , with Fernanda Torres also amaze into Best Actress . The flick take in three Oscar nominations as a result . It ’s perhaps not all that surprising thatI’m Still Heregot in considering the Academy ’s ballot body has become more international over the last few year . I’m Still HerejoinsAnatomy of a Fall , Triangle of Sadness , andDrive My Caras recent international Best Picture nominees .

The acclaim and awards potential ofI’m Still Herewas also clean from the minute it debuted at the Venice International Film Festival . It got a Golden Lion nomination , which is the festival ’s highest prize . The pic clearly did well with Brazillian critics and award groups , but the nominations from the Golden Globes , National Board of Review , Critics ' Choice Awards , and BAFTA Awards all give it momentum . Fernanda Torres ' Golden Globes win may have helped push it over the top to get into Best Picture .

The nominee for Best Picture at the 97th Academy Awards are all well - made films , but some of them stand out as material highlights of 2024 ’s motion-picture show slate .

Headshot Of Karla Sofía Gascón

The betting odds are downcast thatI’m Still Herewill win Best Picture . International films have done substantially at receive credit in the category in recent twelvemonth , butParasiteis still the only one to gain . It also hurts thatI’m Still Here ’s Best Picture nominationis not alone in terms of non - English rival this year , asEmilia Pérezis a stronger contender in terms of a foreighn language film . There might be a lot of support for the Brazil drama , but it wo n’t be enough for it to win .

8Dune: Part Two

5 Oscar Nominations

History was onDune : Part Two ’s side to get a Best Picture Oscar nominating speech in 2025 , and that it did . Villeneuve ’s original movie received a nominating address in 2022 , but it did not win . His sci - fi filmArrivalalso got a Best Picture nominating address . With the Academy Awards voting body light buff of his work , Dune 2gets into the 2025 Best Picture subspecies after arguably surpassing what he did in the first movie . It ’s one of five Oscar nominating address for the subsequence , all of which follow in below - the - dividing line categories after Villeneuve missed in Best Director again .

This twelvemonth ’s Best Picture race is wildly irregular , so here are some stats and Oscar trends deserving know to foretell the winner correctly .

Dune 2had good ground to believe that it would be in the Best Picture mix . It had a Best Motion Picture - Drama nomination from the Golden Globes , which it turn a loss . It also fell inadequate at Critics Choice Awards , PGA , and Satellite Awards . Dune 2was not expect to win in any of those ceremony by that stop , and the same is straight of its Best Picture chance now . The subsequence may finally gain a few below - the - stock categories , but that ’s it . There ’s no sane expectation to predict it as the Best Picture winner .

Headshot Of Zoe Saldana In The 2024 KERING Women In Motion Awards

The blue betting odds forDune 2to profits Best Picture are not a mark against the movie ’s tone . It was one of thebest moving picture of 2024 , and this nomination reflects that . The Academy may want to giveDunetheLord of the Ringstreatment where the majority of its wins total with the conclusion of the trilogy . That ’s a knock againstDune 2 . And that might be a error asDune 3may testify to be a less awards - favorable installing .

7The Substance

The Substanceis the biggest winner of the awards season , as Coralie Fargeat and Demi Moore ’s body revulsion film about Hollywood and mantrap has become a central part of the conversation . This includes the Best Picture nomination it has now secured . Fargeat earned a Best Director nomination , and Moore is watch as the front-runner to win Best Actress now . have in the motion picture ’s disputation in Makeup & Hairstyling and Original Screenplay , and it has the necessary backing to be a Best Picture competitor .

Several precursors were pointing toThe Substanceearning a nomination here . It was among the ten nominees at the PGAs , and the flick also earned recognition at the Golden Globes for Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy . With its strong vital commendation , surprise box situation success , and its continued staying power through the season , The Substanceis a longshot to win Best Picture- but a nomination is a win in and of itself .

Horror movies have historically been look down upon for the major awards , but there are a telephone number of exceptions that have earned Oscar nominations .

Collage of Sound of Music, West Side Story and Chicago

AlthoughThe Substance ’s Oscars performance is a sense - good taradiddle , there is not a good racecourse disc with repulsion movies in this class . This is only the 7th horror motion-picture show nominated for Best Picture . Only one , 1991’sThe Silence of the Elia , went on to win . Even with the Academy becoming more unforced to acknowledge out - of - the - box genre transportation likeThe Shape of WaterorEverything Everywhere All At Oncein late years , it ’s still unlikelyThe Substancetakes home the large laurels .

6Emilia Pérez

13 Oscar Nominations

Emilia Pérezlooked like the Best Picture winner follow the declaration of the Oscar nominating speech and how awards season has play out . The initial acclamation for the film out of Cannes led to it becoming the winner of the Jury Prize , earning a Palme d’Or nomination , and the chief four actress splitting Best Actress . Even though thegeneral reception toEmilia Pérezhas been a bit more mixed- or even negative with the majority of chance audiences , that has not stopped the boundary - crusade musical drama from becoming one of the biggest Oscar contender ever .

Only 10 movie musical theater have ever won the Academy Award for Best Picture , but they have n’t all gone down in moving picture account as popular classics .

While voters intelligibly had an affinity for the film based onEmilia Perez ’s 13 Oscar nominationsmaking it the most nominated movie of 2025 , everything that ’s come after was unexpected . Insensitive tweet from star Karla Sofía Gascón resurface online and trigger new controversy around the film . The fallout was disastrous for the film , as Netflix had to exploit to reconfigure the prize safari without its lead star , and the public statements Gascón has made have not always helped the situation .

Wicked - Poster

Netflix , Audiard , and others relate with the film have had to outdistance themselves from Gascón , and that leaves voters in a spot where they could do the same . While the ballots are not public and there is still oeuvre done inEmilia Pérezthat is deserving celebrating , the optic of selecting this as the undecomposed picture show of the class for the Oscars are not great , and it would ensue in some awkward moment for indisputable . The movie could still find victories in other category , like good Supporting Actress , but its Best Picture probability have dipped considerably .

It ’s a reasonably surprising turning for a movie that already performed well before the Oscars ceremony . It was the ball carrier - up for the People ’s Choice Award at TIFF and win Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy at the Golden Globes . Emilia Pérezalso got BAFTA , PGA , Critics ' Choice , and SAG nominations , but it fell short at them all - some of which came even before the major disputation begin . Perhaps this is ultimately where the film would have wound up without the controversies base on how divisive the film itself is with viewer .

5Wicked

10 Oscar Nominations

Wickedburst onto the scene as a real Oscars contender in many family , including Best Picture . The 2024 adaptation of the first one-half of the acclaimed Broadway musical garnered most general congratulations from critics and audiences alike . Wickedis one of the biggest crew - pleaser of the year , not to advert one of the full-grown box seat office performer . With its impressive musical numbers , costumes , production , and stellar performances from Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande , Wickedearned 10 nomination , let in a Best Picture nomination .

Musicals do not have the expert history of winning Best Picture , but that could be dissimilar this year . Wickedsurprised with its precursor wins , most notably with itsBest Film profits from the National Board of Review . The movie arguably needed to win the Golden Globe for Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy to really start mounting its eccentric to win Best Picture , which it did not . It still had a chance to win at the PGA Awards , but it lost toAnora .

A winnings for Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at SAG Awards would have really helped boost its case . It ’s loss at SAG keeps it out of the list of major contenders and obviate the perceived prominence a movie likeBlack Pantherreceived a few year ago when it win Best Cast . The same likely would have happened ifWickedwon at SAG , even if it still probably would be a longshot to bring home the bacon Best Picture . Since it lost at SAG , there is no real path to validate pickingWickedat the Oscars .

Headshot Of Cynthia Erivo

The betting odds are stacked againstWickedwinning Best Pictureright now . The design forWicked : For Goodto handout later this year and grapple for the 2026 Oscars may also leave voters with a feeling they can hold back another year and give the sequel a Best Picture profits . Whether that ’s actually what come about is something to keep an eye on for the next year .

4A Complete Unknown

8 Oscar Nominations

James Mangold ’s Bob Dylan biopicA Complete Unknownis a major contender for the 2025 Oscars Best Picture race . asterisk Timothée Chalametas the iconic musician , the moving picture joins the tilt of music biopics that receive Best Picture nominations . The Academy shows plenty of favor to true stories , especially those that revolve around massive pop music polish figures and have the kind of maven top executive in front of and behind the camera asA Complete Unknown . That ’s clearly happened again withA Complete Unknown ’s eight nominations , giving it a mellow tally than expect .

James Mangold previously got a Best Picture nomination for a straight story movie with Ford v. Ferrari

Searchlight put its full metier behindA Complete Unknownupon its late - season release , and it paid off . It was recognized at Golden Globes , BAFTA , Critics Choice , PGA , and SAG . However , it did n’t take home the top prize at any of those precursors . That only lead one real argument to be made in favor of pickingA Complete Unknownto gain Best Picture : the discriminatory ballot .

Headshot Of Ariana Grande In The 2024 Met Gala

As a rather standard biopic done by some of the steadiest members of the filmmaking industry , A Complete Unknownis a picture show that most voters are certain to wish . It could then do passably well on the preferential ballot . elector who are pickingTimothée Chalamet to win Best Actorcould put his pic above some other contenders that may be more divisive . This still is not an outcome that I really think is feasible , but that will in all probability explain howA Complete Unknownwins Best Picture in that unbelievable scenario .

3The Brutalist

The Brutalisthas a solid resume to succeed Best Picture , making it a legitimate contender . It’salready won the Golden Globe for Best Motion Picture - Drama . But it also lose at Critics Choice and BAFTA . However , Academy voters still have a strong affinity for the film found on the nominations , and there ’s a world where the film win Director , Actor , and redaction to help digest a Best Picture win . If you really need a reason to believeThe Brutalistwill gain Best Picture , predicting Corbet to gain ground Best Director would really bolster the likeliness .

69 of 96 Best Picture winning movies also gain ground the Oscar for Best Director

unluckily , there is also the varying ofThe Brutalist ’s AI controversy . affright about how the picture show carry out AI and the general opposition most of Hollywood , especially actors , have toward the technology could hard hurt the film . Its epic runtime already was working against it to some level , but now there may be a big intellect for voters not to want it to bring home the bacon . The Brutalistwould have to get voters well-situated with its use of AI to win Best Picture . It ’s indecipherable if that was accomplished .

A Complete Unknown Official Teaser Poster

2Conclave

Based on the well - selling novel by author Robert Harris , Conclavecombines a pile roll with a spellbind write up – creating the idealistic Best Picture formula . have the likes of Ralph Fiennes , Stanley Tucci , John Lithgow , and Isabella Rossellini , the movie touch on a Papal election and an challenging enigma . Not only does the talent line up in front of the photographic camera contain multiple Academy Award candidate , butConclaveis also point by Academy Award - winner Edward Berger , whose previous labor , All Quiet On The Western Front , won the Best International Feature Film accolade in 2023 .

The dramatic play looks to be in a expert view to possibly win Best Picture . It ’s an old - fashioned drama - thriller that has racked up necessary nomination at the Golden Globes , PGA , BAFTA , and more . With eight nomination across the table , Conclaveis in the top one-half for full number of nominating speech between the Best Picture nominees . It ’s in a good situation to win Adapted Screenplay and possibly some other technical categories , which could help its case . It ’s received a Brobdingnagian hike after bring home the bacon at BAFTA and SAG .

There are disputation to be made againstConclavewinning Best Picture , such as Berger ’s surprising omission from the Best Director nominees . That ’s a big heap considering only six picture have won Best Picture without a Best Director nomination . moreover , Focus Features has never won the Best Picture Oscardespite 12 premature nominations . This would meanConclavewould need to make history so as to win the category . I ca n’t quite get myself to predict that outcome , but I will not be surprised if this is the Best Picture succeeder at the end of the Clarence Day .

Headshot Of Edward Norton In The 10th Annual Breakthrough Prize Ceremony

1Anora

6 Oscar Nominations

From the import it debuted at Cannes 2024,Anorabecame the frontrunner for the Oscars and a heavily promise Best Picture victor . An irregular romance that shines a Inner Light on the world of sex work , Anorahas enjoy critical plaudits – receiving a 10 - minute standing standing ovation from festival - goer after its premiere . Given this reaction , it ’s unsurprising thatthe movie won the 2024 Palme d’Or . This success positioned the film to continue riding high once Neon boarded the film as a distributor and awards campaign partner .

Neon has a solid track book with the Oscars , including help oneself pushParasiteto be the Best Picture winner in 2020 after it also was the Palme d’Or winner . The studio apartment has givenAnoraa strong effort throughout the award season , culminating in it earning six Oscar nominations . It ’s already been recognized by the Golden Globes , NBR , Gotham Awards , Film Independent Spirit Awards , AFI , PGA , and plenty of critic groups . All theawardsAnorahas wonspeak for itself .

Anorawas the take for granted front-runner to pull ahead , and after appearing to have peak too early , it rebounded incredibly well down the stretch . Even after its shutout at the Golden Globes and Mikey Madison losing flat coat to Demi Moore for Best Actress , Anorahas now win at PGA , DGA , Critics Choice , and more . The PGA win is especially important in solidifyingAnoraas the Best Picture frontrunner.12 of the last 15 Best Picture winners also won at PGA , so that commit Sean Baker ’s movie in a great position to come through it all .

The Brutalist Movie Poster

My last prediction is thatAnorawill win Best Picture

moreover , it should helpAnora ’s event that the Oscars apply a discriminatory ballot for this family . In a twelvemonth with some factious Best Picture challenger , there are not many who hate Sean Baker ’s film . If it ’s consistently second or third on ballot that it does not finish at the top , it could emerge victorious through the division . It ’s really a coin toss betweenAnoraandConclavebetween who will come through the top prize . My last prediction is thatAnorawill win Best Picture at theOscars 2025 .

Headshot Of Adrien Brody

Headshot Of Guy Pearce In The 77th annual Cannes

Conclave official poster

Headshot Of Ralph Fiennes

Headshot Of Stanley Tucci

Anora Official Poster

Headshot Of Mikey Madison

Headshot Of Mark Eydelshteyn

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