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The announcement of the2025 SAG Awardnominations following the determination of the82nd Golden Globe Awardshas position an other stage for theupcoming 2025 Oscar backwash . While there were severalsurprises and repulse at the 2025 Golden Globes , some of the winners were also quite predictable , the most apparent of them being Adrien Brody ’s victory in the Best Actor , Drama category forThe Brutalistand Zoe Saldaña ’s Best Supporting Actress , Musical or Comedy winnings forEmilia Pérez .
While the Golden Globes can be quite prognosticative of certainOscar races , particularly the Supporting Actor family , the SAG Awards generally have more staying power leading into the Academy Awards . The 31st annual SAG Awards will take home on Sunday , February 23 , 2025 , at the Shrine Auditorium and Expo Hall in Los Angeles , California . The event will swarm live on Netflix for the 2d square twelvemonth at 8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT.Wicked , which gain Best Box Office & Cinematic Achievement at the Golden Globes , earned the most SAG Award moving picture nominating speech with five , followed byA Complete Unknown’sfour .
What The SAG Nominations Mean For The Oscars 2025 Best Picture Race
Wicked nearly secures its Best Picture nom after disappointing Golden Globes
Wickedhaving the most SAG Award nominations is patently a beneficial sign for its Oscar chances , where it will in all probability be nominated for Best Picture and numerous acting categories . One SAG Award category to keep an heart on will beBest honk In A Motion Picture , which has rifle to the eventual Best Picture succeeder in four out of the retiring five years(Oppenheimer , Everything Everywhere All at Once , CODA , Parasite).Wickedleads the nominee , which also includeA Complete Unknown , Anora , Conclave , andEmilia Pérez . All five of these films are near - locks to receive Best Picture nominations .
The Brutalist and Emilia Pérez were the bounteous winner at the 2025 Golden Globes , but which one is more likely to take domicile Best Picture at the Oscars ?
AlthoughThe Brutalistwasn’t wide discern by the SAG Awards , make just one nomination for Adrien Brody ’s Golden Globe - winning role , it is a secure Best Picture Oscar nominating address after winning Best Picture , Drama and Best Director for Brady Corbet at the Globes . This leaves roughly four space available for other potential Best Picture nominating address , which could go to as many as ten suitable films .
Demi Moore ’s Golden Globe win and SAG nominating address for Best Actress boosts the chances ofThe Substance , while Colman Domingo’sSing Sing , which was arguably snub from a Best Cast nomination , should also find its mode into the Best Picture plication in March . Culkin ’s momentum conform to his Golden Globe win should also shoot Jesse Eisenberg’sA Real Paininto the Best Picture conversation , leaving Denis Villeneuve ’s sci - fi epicDune : Part Twoto pick up the last useable Best Picture nomination . Given the ten nominating speech and six wins of 2021’sDune , as well as its box office winner , betting odds areDune : Part Twowill get the nom .
What The SAG Nominations Mean For The Oscars 2025 Best Actor Race
Adrien Brody firmly holds onto his frontrunner position
The SAG Awards nominees for Best Actor include Adiren Brody ( The Brutalist ) , Timothée Chalamet ( A Complete Unknown ) , Ralph Fiennes ( Conclave ) , Colman Domingo ( Sing Sing ) , and Daniel Craig ( Queer ) . The first four candidate are secure bets for Oscar nominating speech , whileCraig ’s fifth and last billet could be fill by Sebastian Stan . Stan would more probably be put forward for his orb - gain public presentation inA Different Manover his depicting of Donald Trump inThe Apprentice .
None of the Golden Globe nominees for Best Actor , Musical or Comedy , which includes Jesse Eisenberg ( A Real Pain ) , Gabriel Labelle ( Saturday Night ) , Hugh Grant ( Heretic ) , Jesse Plemons ( Kinds of Kindness ) , and Glen Powell ( Hit Man ) , seem like genuine contenders for that fifth smirch . Statistically , the SAG Awards and the Oscars have only matched all five Best Actor nominees just nine times in history(1996 , 1997 , 2006 , 2008 , 2009 , 2016 , 2020 , 2021 , 2023 ) . A three out of the last five years tendency , however , is certainly not nothing , entail that Craig could wind up with that fifth Oscar nominating address even if Stan arguably deserves it .
What The SAG Nominations Mean For The Oscars 2025 Best Actress Race
Moore, Madison, and Erivo are in good positions
The SAG Awards nominees for Best Actress include Demi Moore ( The Substance ) , Cynthia Erivo ( Wicked ) , Mikey Madison ( Anora ) , Pamela Anderson ( The Last Showgirl ) , and Karla Sofía Gascón ( Emilia Pérez).Gascón would make history by becoming the first openly trans role player to receive an Oscar nominating address , although there is somecontroversy surroundingEmilia Pérezand how a profits for Gascón may actually not make headway the party favor of the trans community . Regardless , she is very likely to incur a nomination after being acknowledged by both the Golden Globes and the SAG Awards .
Anora had a scandalous performance at the Golden Globes where it did n’t win one award . Here ’s what it means for 2025 Oscars and Best Picture .
That being said , the Best Actress race is unfeignedly between Moore and Madison , althoughWicked’sstrong SAG Awards viewing seems to have made their headway - to - brain rivalry into a three - way battle . Like Gascón , Anderson is nominated for a Golden Globe and a SAG Award now , so why not an Oscar ? Well , recent Golden Globe winner Fernanda Torres and her performance inI’m Still Heremay have something to say about that . Meanwhile , Hollywood darlings Angelina Jolie and Nichole Kidman are eyeing that 5th nominating address one-armed bandit forMariaandBabygirl , respectively . Statistically , the SAG Awards and the Oscars have only matched all five Best Actress nominees seven times , the last one being in 2009 .
What The SAG Nominations Mean For The Oscars 2025 Best Supporting Actor Race
Washington may get a nomination but looks nearly out of the Oscar race
While Kieran Culkin ’s Golden Globe winnings over Denzel Washington’sGladiator IIperformance upraise some eyebrows , he has emerge as the early frontrunner for Best Supporting Actor . Washington ’s Golden Globes passing and complete omission from the SAG Awards nominees , which include Culkin , Jeremy Strong ( The Apprentice ) , Jonathan Bailey ( Wicked ) , Tura Borisov ( Anora ) , and Edward Norton ( A Complete Unknown ) , nearly nudge him out of contention . It ’s potential that the Oscars may prod Borisov or even Bailey out for Washington , but other contenders such asThe Brutalist’sGuy Pearce may overpower Washington ’s hazard .
A Complete Unknown’sEdward Norton stay on an understated favorite who should be aided by the momentum ofA Complete Unknown’sfour SAG Award nomination , especially if Brody wins over Chalamet for Best Actor again . That being said , Culkin is still very much in the star and a SAG Award win would virtually insure a Supporting Actor Oscar win . Statistically , the Supporting Actor SAG Award winner has gone on to succeed the Oscar every twelvemonth since 2016 . Six of the eight most recent Golden Globe Supporting Actor victor have won the SAG Award the same yr .
What The SAG Nominations Mean For The Oscars 2025 Best Supporting Actress Race
It’s still Grande vs Saldana, with Saldana very much in the lead
The most surprising yet unsurprisingSAG Award nominee for Best corroborate Actress is Jamie Lee Curtis for her theatrical role inThe Last Showgirl . The late 2023 Oscar winner could have a scene at realize another Supporting Actress nominating speech based on her SAG Award cellular inclusion . However , even with the nomination , she ’d have some moderately pissed competition from two of the greatest melodious performances in Zoe Saldaña’sEmilia Pérezand Ariana Grande’sWicked , which are the sure frontrunners . The other nominees , Monica Barbaro ( A Complete Unknown ) and Daniell Deadwyler ( The Piano Lesson ) are desirable yet somewhat unexpected entries .
escape once again from this category isThe Brutalist , who will likely have Felicity Jonesto represent it in the Best corroborate Actress Oscar race . Golden Globe nominee Selena Gomez did not get the SAG Award nom , which lessens her chance at receiving an acting Oscar nominating speech , although she has a gravid shot at a Best Original Song nomination for " Mi Camino . " Isabella Rossellini ( Conclave ) is also in the mix , making for what could be a highly competitive Supporting Actress backwash at the Oscars , even though Saldaña ’s Golden Globe win elevates her above the rest .
Statistically , five of eight Golden Globe success have bring home the bacon the Best Supporting Actress Oscar , while14 of 15 of the previous SAG Award winners have won the Best Supporting ActressOscar . If Saldaña sweeps the Golden Globes and theSAG Awards , she ’ll be a shoo - in to take home her first career Oscar in March .
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