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The BrutalistandEmilia Pérezwere the big winners at the 2025Golden Globes , but one is more likely to take home the Academy Award for Best Picture than the other . Emilia Péreztook home four awards at the Golden Globes — the most of any pic at the ceremonial — whileThe Brutalisttook family three in a close 2nd place . The Brutalistis a sobering historical epic about a Holocaust subsister pursuing the American Dream after weather tragedy , whileEmilia Pérezis a melodious offense caper about a Mexican cartel chief seeking sexuality transition .
The earth separate their categories into “ Drama ” and “ Musical or Comedy . ”The Brutalistswept the Drama category , let in Best Actor and Best Director , whileEmilia Pérezswept the Musical or Comedy categories , including Best Supporting Actress and Best Original Song . They were the only two movie to deliver the goods in multiple category . Both took home Best Motion Picture in their various categories , which is usually a good indicator ofhow the Academy will vote for Best Picture at the Oscars . The Globe come through prime them both for Oscar success , but which movie is in a better position to pull ahead Best Picture ?
The Brutalist’s Golden Globes Win Is Bigger For The 2025 Oscars Than Emilia Pérez’s
The Academy Favors Drama Over Musical Or Comedy
Historically , The Brutalist ’s big profits at the Golden Globes puts it in a better billet towin Best Picture at the OscarsthanEmilia Pérez . The delineation of Drama and Musical or Comedy has n’t always existed in the Golden Globes , but since that scheme get into office , the Academy has favored the Drama winner much more than the Musical or Comedy success . The Globes ’ Drama winner has matched the Oscars ’ Best Picture winner 40 out of 81 fourth dimension , while the melodious or Comedy succeeder has only matched Best Picture 11 out of 72 times .
The Globes ’ Drama winner has matched the Oscars ’ Best Picture winner 40 out of 81 times , while the melodious or Comedy winner has only matched Best Picture 11 out of 72 times .
The Academy has always had a distinct prejudice against comedic fare . There are exceptions , of trend , when the Oscars have grant comedies : Birdmanwon Best Picture ; Emma Stone won Best Actress forPoor thing ; Mel Brooks gain ground Best Original Screenplay forThe Producers . Butthe Academy has always privilege grim striking work likeThe Brutalistover quirkier , funnier moving-picture show likeEmilia Pérez . The Academy has a long - fend history of award movies that shell out with the horrific history of the Holocaust , which does n’t bode well forEmilia Pérez ’s backwash againstThe Brutalist .
The Brutalist & Emilia Pérez’s Chances Of Winning An Oscar Are Better After The Golden Globes
They’re Both Frontrunners In Several Categories
The Brutalist ’s Adrien Brody is much more potential to win Best Actor at the Oscarsafter winning in that category at the Globes . likewise , its film director Brady Corbet has gotten a bump in his Oscar chances for Best Director after taking home that prize at the Globes . Emilia Pérez’sZoe Saldaña is count potential to gain Best Supporting Actressat the Oscar after winning in that class at the globe .
The 82nd Golden Globe Awards held at the Beverly Hilton Hotel on January 5 , 2025 , had several major surprises and a few clear-cut snub .
Emilia Pérezcould repeat its Golden Globe wins of Best International Feature and Best Original Song at the Oscars , because it ’s easily the most popular contender in either of those categories . If the two films do indeed sweep these category , then it could help to build a case for either to win Best Picture . However , the Academy could reckon Best International Feature as a consolation prize forEmilia Pérezand give Best Picture toThe Brutalistinstead , similar to what happened withThe Zone of Interestlast twelvemonth .
The Brutalist & Emilia Pérez Could Both Still Struggle To Actually Win Best Picture At The 2025 Oscars
There’s The Preferential Ballot To Consider With Best Picture
The Golden Globes can sometimes indicate which film will win the top award at the Oscars , but it ’s not always the case . In 2024,the Best Picture victor at the Oscars , Oppenheimer , lined up with the Golden Globes ’ Best Motion Picture – Drama winner . But 2023 ’s Best Picture winner , Everything Everywhere All at Once , did n’t line up with either of the Golden Globe succeeder , The FabelmansandThe Banshees of Inisherin . 2022 ’s Best Picture success , CODA , did n’t delineate up with either of the Golden Globe winners , The Power of the DogandWest Side Story .
With 10 nominations , Emilia Pérezis the most nominative drollery or musical film in Golden Globes history .
When it derive to the Academy Award for Best Picture , there ’s the discriminatory ballot to view . It all depends on which movies the Academy elector in person preferred . The BrutalistandEmilia Pérezare both films that might not click with elector and twine up at the lower end of their voting , leaving more favorable plastic film likeAnoraorConclaveto potentially rise . The winners at theGolden Globesare a proficient indicant of which way the Oscar voters will carry , but it ’s not a definitive prediction by any means .
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