Anora
Just when it seemed as thoughAnorahad lose basis in the Best Picture backwash , it ’s now re - emerged as the Oscars 2025 frontrunner at the double-dyed time . Sean Baker ’s moving-picture show was pinpointed as an expected awards contender from the import it debut at the Cannes Film Festival . The picture immediately earned rave revue and was even awarded the festival ’s top prize , the Palme d’Or . Despite the strong early winner , Anora ’s skunk at the Golden Globes asThe BrutalistandEmilia Pérezgained steam create a sense that the movie had faded as theOscars 2025 predicted Best Picture winner .
That leftAnorato await like the film that peaked way too early in laurels time of year , whileThe Brutalist , Emilia Pérez , and evenA Complete Unknownfound more traction following theOscars 2025 nominations . Anoraperformed admirably , getting its bear six nominating speech in wide predicted category . This helped keep hope awake that the film could win Best Picture if awards time of year break its agency from that point on . And withThe BrutalistandEmilia Pérezheadlining the2025 Oscars ' openhanded tilt , Anorajust needed a unassailable display somewhere to riffle the narrative . That happened over the weekend .
Anora Won The Top Prize At PGA & Critics Choice
PGA Is A Massive Oscars Precursor
The good case scenario forAnoraover the weekend played out thanks to the PGA Awards ( Producers Guild of America Awards ) and the critic ' Choice Awards . Critics Choice come first and gaveAnorathe Best Picture win on Friday night . While theCritics Choice elector have no overlap with the Oscars , it ’s still a moment to gain votes with a strong operation . The following Nox , the PGA Awards ceremony choose it as the winner of the top pillage , the Darryl F. Zanuck Award for Outstanding Producer of Theatrical Motion Pictures . That ’s more meaning , give the PGA and Oscars intersection .
Anorais now the 36th winner of the PGA ’s version of Best Picture . The voting body consists of over 8,000 producer , and many are Academy member eligible to vote on the Oscars . That helps explain the incredible track phonograph recording that this honour has with Best Picture . The Oscars Best Picture winner has match with the PGA ’s Outstanding Producer award 24 out of 35 times overall . The track record is even better more recently , as12 of the last 15 Best Picture winners also won at PGA . The exceptions are1917(2019),La La Land(2016 ) , andThe Big Short(2015 ) .
This provides a major boost toAnoraas a Best Picture contender , specially as some of its competitors falter . The movie was already thought to make up some ground onThe BrutalistorEmilia Pérezthanks to the Oscars ' discriminatory ballot used for Best Picture , which could hurt two more dissentious celluloid . Anorais more of a crowdpleaser that could attract to most elector and put it high up on the leaden ballot , even if it is n’t at the very top .
Anorawinning at PGA is illustrious for the movie itself , but it also avail that it beatThe BrutalistandEmilia Pérezto do so . Those pic get ahead the top dirty money at the Golden Globes , which has an international voting eubstance . With the Academy importantly diversify its members in recent years and dilate with more international voter , there was an argument to be made thatThe BrutalistandEmilia Pérezwere bountiful collision abroad thanAnora . The PGAs could have stay that impulse and given either a fastness over Best Picture . Instead , Anorasolidified a patch as a logical contender .
Sean Baker DGA Win Is Another Huge Boost For Anora’s Best Picture Oscar Chances
Sean Baker Becomes The Best Director Oscars Frontrunner
Right beforeAnorawon at PGA , Sean Baker celebrated a victory at the DGA Awards ( Directors ' Guild of America Awards ) . His peers selected him as the DGA Best Director achiever . That ’s a pregnant development for the Oscars 2025 Best Director race , asthe DGA and Oscars winners have matched every year except for eight time . Baker suddenly becomes the favourite to gain Best Director at the Oscars thanks to this consequence .
The Best Director Oscar winner has amount from the Best Picture succeeder 69 times in the previous 96 age
Winning Best Director is often a secure indicator as to what picture is going to win Best Picture at the Oscars . The Best Director Oscar winner has come in from the Best Picture winner 69 time in the previous 96 years . Narrowing that scope down to more relevant times , the Best Director and Best Picture Oscar succeeder still ordinate 15 fourth dimension in the last 24 years . It ’s also matched four of the last five years . That means nearly two - thirds of the movies that win Best Director go on to win Best Picture .
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If Sean Baker goes on to win Best Director at the Oscars , there is an even outstanding chance thatAnorawins Best Picture . Although Baker is deserve of his nominating address and likely profits as a theatre director , he was previously consider more of a 2nd - grade contender in the class . The potential of him now winning Best Director would indicate that the love forAnorain the Academy is precise and would powerfully signal that its name could be call for Best Picture .
Anora’s Awards Season Surge Comes Right As Oscar Voting Is About To Begin
Oscars Voting Kicks Off On February 11th
Anora ’s newfangled win at Critics Choice , PGA , and DGA are significant not only historically but also in terms of timing of credit , which should also work in the plastic film ’s favor . The picture show has been looking for a chance to bulge out again in the laurels conversation after having so much acclaim early on . Winning at Critics Choice , PGA , and DGA give it that opportunity , with Sean Baker able to deliver multiple credence speeches that could get Oscar voters to remember aboutAnoramore . That ’s authoritative since these victories arrive days before Oscar ballot officially begin .
honorary society phallus are able-bodied to start vote for winners in all Oscars 2025 categories on February 11 , 2025 . last ballot are due a calendar week later on February 18.Anorahas now billow at the best potential timethen . It is the movie that three of the final precursors recognized in the most significant categories . WGA and BAFTA will still name their winner during the Oscar ballot period , so the results of both ceremonies could lend some voters to reconsider their vote before everything is finalized .
The WGA Awards are on February 15 , and the BAFTA Awards are on February 16
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Anorahas a fortune to furtherstrengthen its Best Picture frontrunner position through WGA and BAFTA . It has 7 BAFTA nominating address , including Best Picture and Best Director , so wins in both categories would be immense . However , the BAFTAs also tend to favor British films , which is why there is some thought thatConclavecould gain ground . Anorais only one of two Oscar nominees for Best Original Screenplay to gain a nomination in the same family at WGA . If it wins there and beatsA Real Pain , impulse will continue in its favour .
It ’s deserving remark thatAnorawinning at WGA could also boost its Best Picture contention position . The Original Screenplay Oscar has pop off to a WGA nominee 32 times in the last 40 long time . The WGA winner then won the Oscar in 24 of those 32 example . Seven movies acquire Original Screenplay at WGA and the Oscars and also deliver the goods Best Picture . Those odds are n’t incredible , but another profits forAnoraat WGA would still keep the photographic film at the forefront of voters ' minds at the most important time .
Anora Is The Clear Frontrunner To Win Best Picture At The Oscars Now
But Will It Maintain Its New Status?
Anorais unmistakably the frontrunner to win Best Picture thanks to this recent success . It has the reinforcement of producers and directors , which will be important during Oscars voting . Although the doer ’s branch is the large in the Academy , Anorashould also do well with them in the Best Picture ballot - even if Demi Moore wins Best Actress over Mikey Madison . The full potency of the support role player have for the movie will become more readable on February 23 when the SAG Awards are held . IfAnorawins the Ensemble Cast award , the Best Picture slipstream will practically be enfold up .
This does mean that there is still elbow room forAnorato lose ground and see another picture show win Best Picture . However , it ’s becoming a bite more difficult to figure out what movie will unseat it . The BrutalistandEmilia Pérezmay be too dissentious to win , whileDune : Part TwoandThe Substanceare too genre - based , andI’m Still HereandNickel Boysare too small to contend seriously . Conclavemissed out on some central categories that hurt its odds too . That pull up stakes onlyWickedandA Complete Unknown .
It is not abysmal thatWickedorA Complete Unknowncould win Best Picture . Both should do well on the preferential ballot and have unspoiled chances to win key other category : Timothée Chalamet in Best Actor and Ariana Grande in Best Supporting Actress . However , it would take a really pregnant energy for either film to overtakeAnoraunless another unexpected accolade time of year arguing emerges . The airstream is n’t officially over , asThe BrutalistorEmilia Pérezovercoming their contention is still possible , butAnorais in the best position right now to win Best Picture in a few weeks .
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