Colman Domingo has been part of the2025 Oscarsrace for Best Actor for some clip thanks toSing Sing , and his first major profits with the Gotham Awards is a telling augury of what is to add up . After breaking through into the honor side of Hollywood withRustin , Domingo ’s praise work inSing Singreviewsonce again vault him into contention for another Academy Award nomination . The Gotham Awards have become the first awards ceremonial to officially acknowledge his performance with a profits , asColman Domingo come through Outstanding Lead Performanceon the December 2nd awards show .

The Gotham Awards have been around since 1991 and have carved out a patch as one of the early shows in awards season . In 2013 , Best Actor and Best Actress were added to the category lineup before both were combined into Outstanding Lead Performance get in 2021 . That is the class Colman Domingo won at the 2024 Gotham Awards , beat out Best Actor and Best Actress Oscar hopefuls in the cognitive operation . He ’s the first male thespian to win the combined Lead categorysince its instauration .

The Oscars 2025 are chop-chop approaching , and with nominations now officially announced , we ’re augur the succeeder of all 23 categories .

Anora, Emilia Perez, Gladiator II and Dune 2 with Oscar statues

This officially wee-wee Colman Domingo’sSing Singperformance an prize - winning one , as he has previously only been nominated for his work in the movie or recognized in other capacities . While the correlation between the independent awards show and the Academy Awards is not massive , his Gotham Awards win does have an impact on the 2025 Academy Award Best Actor backwash and the Leslie Townes Hope ofDomingo being a back - to - back Oscar nominee .

The Gotham Awards Have A Spotty History Of Connecting To The Oscars' Best Actor Race

Winning A Gotham Award Does Not Typically Lead To An Oscar

Colman Domingo is now the ninth actor to be recognized by the Gotham Awards for a leading male performance since the show begin doing so in 2013.Matthew McConaughey was the first recipient role of the Gotham Award for Best Actorthanks to his role inDallas Buyers Club . At the time , it was unclear if that would bear upon the actor ’s Oscar chances . McConaughey became a front-runner of the awards season and at long last won the Best Actor Oscar . That position up a potential case law for the Gotham Awards to be a consistent predictor for the Oscars in Best Actor .

The Gotham Awards ' use as a predictor for the Oscars wavered in the following years , though . Michael Keaton won the Gotham Award forBirdmanin 2014 and was think of as the favorite to come through the Oscar . While Keaton was nominated for his carrying into action , the Academy Awards gave Best Actor to Eddie Redmayne forThe Theory of Everything . Momentum picked back up in 2016 thanks toCasey Affleck winning Best Actor at the Gotham Awards and Academy AwardsforManchester by the Sea . However , this was the last clip a lead male performance make headway at both awards ceremonial .

Year

Two grandmas cooking in Nonnas

Gotham Award Best Male Actor Winner

Did They Win The Oscar ?

2013

Stitch pointing a soda gun at Lilo in the 2025 Lilo and Stitch

Matthew McConaughey ( Dallas Buyers Club )

Yes

2014

Colman Domingo in Sing Sing with Oscars statues behind him

Custom Image by Cooper Hood

Michael Keaton ( Birdman )

No , lose to Eddie Redmayne ( The Theory of Everything )

2015

Matthew McConaughey wearing a hat and aviators looking sideways in Dallas Buyers Club

Paul Dano ( Love & Mercy )

No , was not nominated

2016

Colman Domingo leaning forward in his seat while Clarence Maclin lounges in the background in Sing Sing

Casey Affleck ( Manchester by the Sea )

2017

James Franco ( The Disaster Artist )

Movies

2018

Ethan Hawke ( First Reformed )

2019

The Oscars | Academy Awards

Adam Driver ( Marriage Story )

No , lose to Joaquin Phoenix ( Joker )

2020

Riz Ahmed ( Sound of Metal )

No , lost to Anthony Hopkins ( The Father )

2021 - 2023

None - Best Actor and Best Actress categories combined into Outstanding Lead Performance

Now that the Best Actor category is meld with Best Actress to make Outstanding Lead Performance , the success rate of male actors winning at the Gothams and Oscars was only 25 % . That drops to 18 % if the years with Outstanding Lead Performance are factored in . That is not an idealistic position for Colman Domingo to be in then after hiss Singwin . The Gothams and Oscars have not shared a Best Actor achiever in eight years after all , so it will be up to the former Oscar nominee to exchange that with a win in 2025 .

Colman Domingo’s Gotham Awards Win Still Helps Bolster His Oscars 2025 Best Actor Nomination Chances

There’s Stronger Overlap Between The Gotham & Oscar Nominations

Arguably the biggest takeout food from Colman Domingo ’s Outstanding Lead Performance win at the 2024 Gotham Awards comes with his betting odds of receiving an Oscar nomination . Although he was already consider a major rival and featured onScreen Rant ’s predicted 2025 Oscars Best Actor nominations , an early win like this is big . It helps build up his résumé and adds to his momentum , specially as Domingo is able to render speeches that could help swing the opinion of actual Academy voters . His status as a former Oscar nominee help oneself there , too .

11 male role player have been nominated by the Gotham Awards and Academy Awards for the same movie as a lead , while five who were nominated for Lead at the Gothams went in put up at the Oscars

More significantly , there is a stronger connection between the Gotham Awards and Oscars when it comes to nominations . Five of the eight Best Actor winner for the Gotham Awards received an Oscar nominating speech . moreover , Brendan Fraser and Paul Mescal were propose for Outstanding Lead Performance in 2022 before bring in Oscar nominations - with Fraser winning Best Actor - and the Gothams and Oscars make Jeffrey Wright forAmerican Fictiontwo years afterwards . That overlap should be in Domingo ’s favor to get an Oscar nomination forSing Sing .

Should Colman Domingo Be The Oscars 2025 Best Actor Frontrunner After The Gotham Awards?

His Victory At The Gothams Has A Small Impact On Best Actor Oscars Race

With the 97th Academy Awards still being three month by , it is far too former to call Colman Domingo the frontrunner for Best Actor . His win at the Gotham Awards is notable and a sign of how much favor his operation has . The voting eubstance between the Gothams and Oscars do not overlap , but the Academy Awards ' histrion branch - which is the largest radical of voters - is sure to also admire the emotional work Domingo render inSing Sing . Since he was already turn over a major rival for the Best Actor Oscar , that does not change .

It ’s also difficult to fully know where Domingo ’s performance stacks up when the Gotham Awards ' nominations are sure to look quite different from the Oscars . Adrien Brody , Justice Smith , and Keith Kupferer were the only other male thespian put up for Outstanding Lead Performance , but only Brody ’s work inThe Brutalistis in serious arguing to get an Oscar nominating address . Other notable contenders like Ralph Fiennes ( Conclave ) , Timothée Chalamet ( A Complete Unknown ) , Daniel Craig ( Queer ) , John David Washington ( The Piano Lesson ) , or Sebastian Stan ( A Different ManorThe Apprentice ) were absent from this awards show , which complicates matter .

in the end , Colman Domingo is in a stronger position to get an Oscar nomination forSing Singafter his Gotham Awards succeed . Whether he can win Best Actor in 2025 is another story . But if he continues to wring up win with various critics groups and big predecessor like SAG , Critics Choice , or the Golden Globes , then he ’ll be in an even better smear to possibly win at the2025 Oscars .