Related
It ’s time to make our finalOscars 2025predictions forward of the 97th Academy Awards ceremony on March 2 , 2025 . The biggest night in Hollywood brings to a close one of the tightest awards seasons in recent memory . A year afterOppenheimerdominated at the Oscars with seven wins off 13 nominations , there is no clear - gash frontrunner positioned to pull ahead a large routine of categories . Emilia Pérez , Wicked , The Brutalist , Conclave , andA Complete Unknownhave the most nominations this year , withAnoraand others a bit further behind .
Over a calendar month after the Oscars 2025 nominating address were announced , all the major precursors are now done . That means there is a lot of data , previous awards shows , pundit prediction , betting betting odds , and more to sieve through when it comes to betoken what movies will make headway each class . I ’ve already gathered up some usefulstats and trends to acknowledge to predict Best Picture , but there ’s even more out there for the rest of the category . And while I ’ve written item-by-item pieces on a few family with last prediction , these are the overall terminal prefigure results .
11Best Picture
Predicted Winner: Anora
By most score , Best Picture will fare down toAnoraorConclave , asThe Brutalist , Emilia Pérez , and others are longer shots . This is the event ofAnorawinning at PGA , DGA , and WGA , as only one pic has ever won all three and not won Best Picture . Conclave ’s win at BAFTA and SAG are notable and prove that it still has a very literal shot to win , particularly as the pope dramatic event is a more traditional success pick for the Academy than the sex actor romantic drama .
The betting market reflects this position in the subspecies , asAnorais -200 to win Best Picture onDraftKings , whileConclaveis +225 . That mean the money is literally onAnorato succeed Best Picture . And after the movie ’s big retort with tardy time of year wins - including its predominant weekend at PGA , DGA , and Critics Choice - it ’s arguably the safe stake . WhileI’m confident in predictingAnorato win , if you ’re looking for better odds and look an perturbation , ConclaveorThe Brutalistare seemingly next up in terms of thepredicted Oscars 2025 Best Picture success .
10Best Director
Predicted Winner: Sean Baker (Anora)
TheBest Director category at the Oscars 2025is a close-fitting two - human being subspecies between Sean Baker ( Anora ) and Brady Corbet ( The Brutalist ) . It ’s a problematical call to make considering Baker won at Critics Choice and DGA , while Corbet won at Golden Globes and BAFTA . That suggests Corbet ’s film may play advantageously with external voters , which could help oneself give him an boundary . However , 69 of 96 Best Director success come from the Best Picture - winning movie , and DGA has the beneficial track record . Since I ’m going withAnorato win Best Picture , it only wee horse sense to go with Baker in Director .
There could be some sense in hedging your bets and splitting Best Picture and Best Director in some fashion , but that ’s not what I predict will happen . DraftKingsgives Baker the edge too . TheAnorafilmmaker is -175 compared to +135 for Corbet . That ’s about as tight of a race as you ’ll see , so this could really go either way of life . I’m ultimately move with the DGA track book to affirm the predictionand the overall momentumAnorahas compare toThe Brutalist .
9Best Actress
Predicted Winner: Demi Moore (The Substance)
Demi Moore and Mikey Madison jockied back and forth in terms of being the frontrunner for Best Actress over the last several weeks . Demi Moore assume the reins at Golden Globes with her profits and proceeded to win elsewhere . She had all the impulse before Mikey Madison ’s profits at BAFTA brought some later drama . But with Moore winning at SAG , my gut is still that she ’ll be theOscars 2025 Best Actress achiever . She ’s buzz off the stronger life history narrative and could be one of the few timesThe Substanceis recognized during the Oscars .
Mikey Madison ’s odds are not that spoilt , though . She sits at +165 onDraftKings , which comfortably puts her in second place behind Moore , who is -250 . If you want to think thatAnorais go to gain the majority of the categories its nominated in , it makes sensation to pick Madison to get ahead . However , it is worth noting that there have only been 12 movies to make headway Best Picture and Best Actress . That piece of chronicle adds more credence to the belief thatDemi Moore will advance Best Actress .
8Best Actor
Predicted Winner: Timothée Chalamet (A Complete Unknown)
TheOscars 2025 Best Actor raceis down to Timothée Chalamet ( A Complete Unknown ) and Adrien Brody ( The Brutalist ) . It ’s arguably one of the tough class to betoken too . Previous award shows give Brody a strong itinerary towards a victory . He ’s succeed award at BAFTA , Golden Globes , Critics Choice , and more . Meanwhile , Chalamet ’s only major precursor winnings came at SAG , as he did n’t make up as much undercoat in idle ofThe Brutalist ’s AI argument . That really should guide me to predict that Adrien Brody will get ahead Best Actor .
I ca n’t shake the feeling that Timothée Chalamet will be on the receiving end of a bit of a surprise winnings on Oscars Nox
And yet , I ca n’t shake the tone that Timothée Chalamet will be on the receiving closing of a bit of a surprisal profits on Oscars nighttime . SAG has correctly predicted the Oscars ' Best Actor winner 24 of 30 times antecedently . Chalamet ’s case is a bit dissimilar than before , asno worker has won an Oscar with SAG being their only major precursor winnings . That ’s still not enough to crowd me off from a augur with for one of Hollywood ’s brightest young star topology . DraftKings ' betting odds give him a fair scene too , as Chalamet is +150 to win , while Brody is -250 .
7Best Supporting Actress
Predicted Winner: Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez)
Best corroborate Actress is one of the well-fixed class to predict a succeeder this twelvemonth . Zoe Saldaña has swept through the precursor with wins at SAG , BAFTA , and Critics Choice . Ariana Grande never broke through as some predicted , leavingtheEmilia Pérezstar as the clear frontrunner in this category . This realness is made evidently vindicated through the bet odds onDraftKings , as Zoe Saldaña is -2500 to win the Oscar . There ’s absolutely no reason to believe a different outcome is coming here .
6Best Supporting Actor
Predicted Winner: Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain)
Similar to Best Supporting Actress , the race for Best Supporting Actor has been wrapped up for some time . Kieran Culkin will win the Oscar forA Real Pain . It ’s an sheer certainty at this period after he also swept through SAG , BAFTA , and Critics Choice . He ’s an even liberal favorite to advance the Oscar than Saldaña is , as Culkin ’s odds onDraftKingssit at -3500 . That spend a penny him thebiggest favorite across all Oscars categories . cull anyone other than Culkin to win Best Supporting Actor would not be wise .
5Best Original Screenplay
The love forAnoracould deliver the film a Best Original Screenplay win too . The movie is in skinny competition withA Real Pain , as the book by Sean Baker and Jesse Eisenberg have both received awards earlier . A Real Pain ’s win at BAFTA provided some additional reasons to pick the film to win this class . However , Anoraregained its status as the frontrunner with a WGA win . This is reflected in the betting betting odds , asAnorais -250 to come through versusA Real Painsitting in third place at +450 behindThe Substanceat +300 .
4Best Adapted Screenplay
Predicted Winner: Conclave
No matter what happens in Best Picture , Conclavewill walk away with at least one Oscar . It is my augur winner for Best adapt Screenplay after a secure bear witness all awards season . It won at BAFTA , Critics Choice , and Golden Globes . The only grounds it did n’t win at WGA is that it was not eligible , allowingNickel Boysto get some recognition . That does n’t change much here , asConclaveis -1000 to acquire Best accommodate Screenplay . This will be one vote Cardinal Lawrence will be proud of with .
3Best Animated Feature
Predicted Winner: The Wild Robot
AfterFlowandThe Wild Robotboth looked like potential Best Animated Feature winners in the past , my final prediction endure in DreamWorks ' favor . It is the most widely see movie between the two , but it also has some awards pedigree already . The Wild Robotdominated at the Annie Awardsand pull ahead at Critics Choice . Flowwould be in a better place after come through the Golden Globe if it also won at BAFTA , which went toWallace & Gromit : Vengeance Most Fowlinstead . The Wild Robotis the betting pet too at -340 , butFlowis still at +225 .
2Best International Feature Film
Predicted Winner: I’m Still Here
Fernanda Torres might not bring home the bacon Best Actress , butI’m Still Hereis my predict succeeder in Best International Feature Film . It ’s still in a snug race withEmilia Pérez , as both film are also Best Picture nominees . In fact , Emilia Pérezhas better precursor profits with Golden Globes and BAFTA . So why choseI’m Still Here ? The rebound toEmilia Pérez ’s controversies could be more felt with the Academy than afield . Plus , I’m Still Hereis the betting favorite at -200 compared toEmilia Pérezat +140 .
Custom Image by Milica Djordjevic
