Flight Risk

Flight Riskhas a luck to debut at No . 1 . The 2025 movie , which is a claustrophobic thriller localize on a carpenter’s plane , was direct by Mel Gibson , who has previously helmed massive hits including 2004’sThe Passion of the Christ(which grossed $ 612.1 million against a $ 30 million budget ) and the 1995 Best Picture winnerBraveheart(which grossed $ 209 million against roughly $ 72 million ) . The thriller is head by Gibson’sDaddy ’s Home 2co - star Mark Wahlberg , whose vast roll of No . 1 moving-picture show includesUncharted , transformer : The Last Knight , Pain & Gain , transformer : Age of Extinction,2 Guns , andTed .

Although theFlight Riskcastis small , it is asterisk - studded . In add-on to sport Wahlberg in an untypically villainous role as a mob hitman masquerading as the buffer of a small aircraft , it featuresThat ' 70s ShowandSpider - Man 3star Topher Graceas the witnesser who is his target . The moving picture also featuresDownton Abbeystar Michelle Dockery , who is a four - clip Emmy nominee , as a Deputy U.S. Marshal escorting the latter . Thus , the motion-picture show is set up for likely achiever when it debut in theaters on January 24 as one of the first major new releases of 2025 .

Mark Wahlberg plays a villain in a Modern Mel Gibson picture . There are option for where to watch Flight Risk in theaters , on streaming , and on digital .

Flight Risk Opening Weekend Box Office Projections

It Could Become 2025’s Second No. 1 Movie

At the time of writing , the opening weekend ofMel Gibson’sFlight Riskisprojected to have reasonably lukewarm results . While the movie ’s budget was in all probability relatively slim given its limited cast and locations , as of January 17,Boxoffice Pro ’s long - range forecast showed the movie debuting at the domestic corner office in a range between $ 10 million and $ 17 million . As its opening weekend draw nigher , its outlook diminish somewhat , asBox Office Theory ’s ejection as of January 22 show the lower bound of its range shrinking to $ 7 million , with its upper bandaged only come in at $ 12 million .

[ Flight peril ] is the gravid new spacious release film of the weekend …

A close to $ 10 million debut could putFlight Riskon track to break even depending on its budget , but it is unsung if this total will be enough for it to debut at No . 1 on the domestic boxful office chart . However , it is the braggart new wide acquittance movie of the weekend , whichcould mean that it will basically be No . 1 by default . This would make it the second No . 1 entry so far for a 2025 going , afterDen of stealer 2 : Panteratopped the chart with its $ 15 million first step during the weekend of January 10 .

Custom image by Brennan Klein

Smaller Releases For January 24 & Box Office Projections

Flight Risk Debuts Opposite A New Steven Soderbergh Movie & More

While it is the most striking new discharge of the weekend , Flight Riskdoes have some competitor in the form of several small title that will premiere on the same day . Of these , the most prominent isSteven Soderbergh’sPresence , a haunted house movie that sees the conductor try out with the figure of the repugnance writing style . Also set to debut are the Jared Harris - led Angel Studios dramaBrave the Dark , the Phoebe Dynevor undercover agent thrillerInheritance , the Japanese quicken movieThe color Within , and more . Below , see a breakdown of the weekend ’s smaller new releasesand their most up - to - day of the month projections :

Title

expect Domestic Debut

Neon

Presence

unnamed

Brave the Dark

Neon

$ 3.5 million - $ 6.5 million

Inheritance

The Colors Within

Image via Liongate

Bau : creative person at state of war

For the most part , projections for smaller claim ( which also include the Emile Hirsch romanticistic dramaBau : Artist at War ) are unavailable , but theBox Office Theoryforecastdoes not expect any new tone ending to join the domestic Top 10 exceptFlight RiskandBrave the Dark . While Angel Studios has not yet correspond the success of their 2023 hitSound of Freedom , which debut with $ 19.7 million , their follow - up organized religion - based offerings have debuted at an average of $ 5 million , setting a precedent thatBrave the Darkis probable to follow , though it seems destined to fall belowFlight Risk .

One Of Them Days & Mufasa Could Battle For The #1 Spot This Weekend Once Again

Flight Risk Has Major Competition From Holdover Hits

The factor that could most threatenFlight peril ’s No . 1 condition is the ongoing box business office engagement between the late weekend ’s new release comedyOne of Them Daysand the ongoingMufasa : The Lion Kingrelease . The 2024 photorealistic CG - animated Disney prequel took No . 1 over Martin Luther King Jr. Day weekendin a surprisal upset , but it was neck and neck with the Keke Palmer comedy . AsOne of Them Daysheads into its sophomore weekend andMufasacontinues into its 6th , they could both provide major challenger for the incoming thriller , especially consider its shrink opening night weekend projections .

Blumhouse ’s Universal Monster remakeWolf Manalso debut on the same weekend asOne of Them Days , accept No . 3 behind it andMufasa .

IfFlight Risklands at the top of its send off range and take in $ 12 million , it will easily take No . 1 . The previous weekend , Mufasa : The Lion Kingonly pull in $ 12 million , whileOne of Them Daysgrossed $ 11.8 million . As it is unlikely that either moving picture will earn more on the weekend of January 24 than they did over the holiday weekend , both should fall significantly below $ 12 million . However , if their hebdomad - on - week drop cloth are slim enough , they could still coerce the pic out of the No . 1 slot if it hit its down in the mouth end and defecate $ 7 million .

Flight Risk is a tense thriller set in the Alaskan wilderness, where a pilot navigates an escalating situation involving an Air Marshal and a fugitive being escorted to trial. Suspicion mounts as alliances shift and identities are questioned, transforming the journey into a perilous battle of wills.

Predicted Top 10 Box Office For January 24-26, 2025

Flight Risk Should At Least Be In The Top 3

Regardless of whereFlight Risklands in its mountain range , theMark Wahlberg thrillerseems likely to stop up in the Top 3 movies at the domestic box office during its opening weekend , even if it drop off the competition to bothMufasa : The Lion KingandOne of Them Days . Even with a number of other 2024 hangover shoot maintaining positions on the chart , the fact that it is a new sack should aid buoy it above the other moving picture in theaters . Below , seeone possible agency that the Top 10 chart could lookby the end of Sunday , January 26 :

Movie

Predicted Weekend Box Office

1

Mufasa : The Lion King

$ 8.4 million

2

$ 8 million

3

One of Them Days

$ 7.1 million

4

Sonic the Hedgehog 3

$ 6.1 million

5

$ 5 million

6

Wolf Man

$ 4.4 million

7

Den of Thieves 2 : Pantera

$ 4.2 million

8

Moana 2

$ 4 million

9

Nosferatu

$ 2.9 million

10

A Complete Unknown

$ 2.6 million

at long last , it seems most likely thatFlight Riskwill debut at No . 2 . Although it has many ingredient work in its favor , January 2025 has seen a number of lukewarm debuts , and at the time of writing it does not seem that the domestic box power will have a new release become a major runaway smasher until at least mid - February , whenCaptain America : Brave New WorldandPaddington in Perudebut . However , the Wahlberg movie does not yet have a Rotten Tomatoes grievance , soits first appearance prospects could dislodge up or down depending on whether critics love or detest it .

Source(s):BoxofficePro , Box Office Theory

Flight Risk is a tense thriller sic in the Alaskan wild , where a pilot navigate an escalating situation involve an Air Marshal and a fugitive being escorted to trial . Suspicion mounts as alliances lurch and identities are questioned , transform the journeying into a touch-and-go battle of wills .